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Kansas City Chiefs v Indianapolis Colts
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kansas City Chiefs (Local)
Predicción 70.39%1.42momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -3.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.18%70.26%70.50%72.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.191.351.351.4084.03%74.28%74.07%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Indianapolis Colts (Visitante)
Predicción 29.61%3.38momio equitativo
EV +3.64%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.053%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.69%29.74%29.50%31.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.80%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kansas City Chiefs (Local): 70.39%; Indianapolis Colts (Visitante): 29.61%. Para Indianapolis Colts (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.38. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.64%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053% | 3.2% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053% | 3.2% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053% | 3.2% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053% | 3.2% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +2.16%E +0.626%K +0.881%G +0.019% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 1.9% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 19:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-21 00:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -1.10%E -0.329%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-20 23:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 22:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-21 00:17 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-21 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 20:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 05:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 04:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 05:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.88%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 13:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.88%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.88%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV -2.16%E -1.55%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV -3.47%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-21 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 05:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.90%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.10%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.24%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.24%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 05:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 12:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-21 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 05:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.49%E -6.53%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.49%E -6.53%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-21 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 71.93%EV -16.24%E -13.64%K -85.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%EV -9.69%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-20 09:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.46%E -1.04%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 23:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-21 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-21 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 21:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 21:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 2.4% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.10% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.90% | 2.7% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |