StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Chiefs v Indianapolis Colts

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-21 00:22 UTC

Endstand: Kansas City Chiefs 33–30 Indianapolis Colts

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Chiefs (Heim)

Prognose 70.39%1.42faire Quote
EV -1.46%
Vorteil -1.04%
Kelly -3.64%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.18%70.26%70.50%72.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.191.351.351.4084.03%74.28%74.07%71.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Indianapolis Colts (Auswärts)

Prognose 29.61%3.38faire Quote
EV +3.64%
Vorteil +1.04%
Kelly +1.46%
Wachstum +0.053%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.69%29.74%29.50%31.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.80%30.77%28.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Kansas City Chiefs (Heim): 70.39%; Indianapolis Colts (Auswärts): 29.61%. Für Indianapolis Colts (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.38. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.64%.

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053%3.2%2026-09-20 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053%3.2%2026-09-20 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053%3.2%2026-09-20 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053%3.2%2026-09-20 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +2.16%E +0.626%K +0.881%G +0.019%4.2%2026-09-20 09:29
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%1.9%2026-09-21 00:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%4.6%2026-09-20 19:29
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-20 09:29
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-20 09:29
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-20 09:29
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-20 09:29
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-21 00:09
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-21 00:19
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 20:24
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 00:19
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -1.10%E -0.329%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 23:34
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 22:09
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-21 00:17
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-21 00:09
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 05:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 04:59
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 05:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.88%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 13:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.88%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 00:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.88%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 00:19
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV -2.16%E -1.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV -3.47%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-21 00:10
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 00:14
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 00:14
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 00:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 05:04
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:10
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.90%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.10%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 00:19
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.24%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.24%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 05:04
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 12:39
TAB🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 05:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:14
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:14
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:14
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 00:19
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 00:14
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 00:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.49%E -6.53%K -28.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 00:19
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.49%E -6.53%K -28.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 71.93%EV -16.24%E -13.64%K -85.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%EV -9.69%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 09:29
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.46%E -1.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:19
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 00:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 23:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (9)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-21 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-21 00:15
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-20 21:09
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-19 21:54
ProphetX◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-21 00:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-21 00:19
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-21 00:19
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-09-21 00:19
BetOpenly◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.10%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.90%2.7%2026-09-21 00:19