Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Chiefs v Indianapolis Colts

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-21 00:22 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Chiefs 33–30 Indianapolis Colts

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Prévision 70.39%1.42cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -3.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.18%70.26%70.50%72.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.191.351.351.4084.03%74.28%74.07%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Indianapolis Colts (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.61%3.38cote équitable
EV +3.64%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.053%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.69%29.74%29.50%31.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.80%30.77%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kansas City Chiefs (Local) : 70.39% ; Indianapolis Colts (Visiteur) : 29.61%. Pour Indianapolis Colts (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.38. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.50, soit une espérance positive de +3.64%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053%3.2%2026-09-20 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053%3.2%2026-09-20 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053%3.2%2026-09-20 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053%3.2%2026-09-20 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +2.16%E +0.626%K +0.881%G +0.019%4.2%2026-09-20 09:29
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%1.9%2026-09-21 00:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%4.6%2026-09-20 19:29
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-20 09:29
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-20 09:29
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-20 09:29
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-20 09:29
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-21 00:09
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-21 00:19
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 20:24
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 00:19
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -1.10%E -0.329%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 23:34
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 22:09
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-21 00:17
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-21 00:09
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 05:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 04:59
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 05:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.88%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 13:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.88%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 00:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.88%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 00:19
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV -2.16%E -1.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV -3.47%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-21 00:10
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 00:14
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 00:14
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 00:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 05:04
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:10
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.90%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.10%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 00:19
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.24%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.24%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 05:04
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 12:39
TAB🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 05:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:14
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:14
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:14
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 00:19
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 00:14
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 00:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.49%E -6.53%K -28.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 00:19
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.49%E -6.53%K -28.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 71.93%EV -16.24%E -13.64%K -85.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%EV -9.69%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 09:29
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.46%E -1.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:19
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 00:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 23:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-21 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-21 00:15
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-20 21:09
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-19 21:54
ProphetX◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-21 00:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-21 00:19
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-21 00:19
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-09-21 00:19
BetOpenly◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.10%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.90%2.7%2026-09-21 00:19