Jacksonville Jaguars v New England Patriots

2026-09-27 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Odds

1.7656.82%Min

1.8155.40%Mean

1.8155.40%Median

1.8554.05%Max

Consensus probabilities

51.70%1.934Min

53.19%1.880Max

52.44%1.907Mean

52.44%1.907Median

52.44%1.907IQM

52.32%1.911Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.85 under the IQM model: 52.44%

EV -2.98%Edge -1.61%Kelly -3.50%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: New England Patriots (Visit)

Odds

1.9850.51%Min

1.9950.25%Mean

1.9950.25%Median

2.0050.00%Max

Consensus probabilities

46.81%2.136Min

48.30%2.070Max

47.56%2.103Mean

47.56%2.103Median

47.56%2.103IQM

47.68%2.097Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 47.56%

EV -4.89%Edge -2.44%Kelly -4.89%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Jacksonville Jaguars (Local) ▼	New England Patriots (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.70%EV -2.98% E -1.61% K -3.50% G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51% NM 48.30%EV -5.84% E -2.95% K -5.96% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Bet Right	1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.55% E -2.50% K -5.55% G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -3.94% E -1.95% K -3.86% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.76I 56.82% NM 53.19%EV -7.70% E -4.37% K -10.13% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 46.81%EV -4.89% E -2.44% K -4.89% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-15 20:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth