Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jaguars v New England Patriots

2026-09-27 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 52.44%1.91fair odd

EV -2.98%

Edge -1.61%

Kelly -3.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.70%52.44%52.44%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.761.801.801.8556.82%55.45%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New England Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 47.56%2.10fair odd

EV -4.89%

Edge -2.44%

Kelly -4.89%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.81%47.56%47.56%48.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.981.992.002.0050.51%50.17%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local): 52.44%; New England Patriots (Visit): 47.56%. For Jacksonville Jaguars (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.85, with an expected value of -2.98%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.96%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-06 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-04 16:40
Caesars🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.70%E -4.37%K -10.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-15 20:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.