默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jacksonville Jaguars v New England Patriots

开赛时间: 2026-09-27 17:02 UTC

最终结果: Jacksonville Jaguars 35–6 New England Patriots

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jacksonville Jaguars (主队)

预测 58.93%1.70公平赔率
EV -0.996%
优势 -0.593%
Kelly -1.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布
56.25%58.83%58.94%60.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.621.621.6867.57%61.64%61.73%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

New England Patriots (客队)

预测 41.07%2.43公平赔率
EV +0.619%
优势 +0.253%
Kelly +0.427%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
39.36%41.17%41.06%43.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.082.322.322.4548.08%43.14%43.10%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Jacksonville Jaguars (主队):58.93%;New England Patriots (客队):41.07%。 对于“New England Patriots (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.43。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.45,对应+0.619%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.30%E -3.96%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +0.619%E +0.253%K +0.427%G +0.003%3.7%2026-09-27 15:54
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.202%E -0.083%K -0.141%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-27 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.43%E -0.598%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-27 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.43%E -0.598%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-27 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.43%E -0.598%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 16:05
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.26%E -0.948%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-27 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 15:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:33
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-24 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-24 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-24 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-24 14:09
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-24 14:37
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 15:40
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:05
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.48%E -4.76%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 15:20
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.90%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-27 16:40
Caesars🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.90%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.90%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.31%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-27 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.31%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-27 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 14:09
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 14:10
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 14:09
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 14:14
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 14:09
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:30
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:35
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 14:20
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 14:34
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 14:15
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 16:30
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.30%E -3.96%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.48%E -4.76%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-27 17:00
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.18%E -3.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 17:00
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.59%E -0.949%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.59%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:13
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.59%E -0.949%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.59%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:13
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.59%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -7.48%E -4.76%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.42%EV -8.83%E -3.98%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.66%E -5.59%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-27 16:33
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -0.996%E -0.593%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.43%EV -12.78%E -8.64%K -26.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.57%EV -14.58%E -7.01%K -13.50%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-24 14:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-27 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-27 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-27 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-27 16:50
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-27 16:29
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-27 17:00
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-09-27 17:00
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-09-27 17:00
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-09-27 17:00
BetOpenly◎1.68I 59.52%NM 50.00%1.68I 59.52%NM 50.00%19.0%2026-09-27 16:59