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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Jacksonville Jaguars v New England Patriots

Inicio: 2026-09-27 17:02 UTC

Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 35–6 New England Patriots

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Predicción 58.93%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.996%
Ventaja -0.593%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.25%58.83%58.94%60.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.621.621.6867.57%61.64%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New England Patriots (Visitante)

Predicción 41.07%2.43momio equitativo
EV +0.619%
Ventaja +0.253%
Kelly +0.427%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.36%41.17%41.06%43.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.082.322.322.4548.08%43.14%43.10%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local): 58.93%; New England Patriots (Visitante): 41.07%. Para New England Patriots (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.43. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.619%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.30%E -3.96%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +0.619%E +0.253%K +0.427%G +0.003%3.7%2026-09-27 15:54
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.202%E -0.083%K -0.141%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-27 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.43%E -0.598%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-27 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.43%E -0.598%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-27 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.43%E -0.598%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 16:05
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.26%E -0.948%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-27 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 15:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:33
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-24 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-24 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-24 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-24 14:09
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-24 14:37
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 15:40
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:05
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.48%E -4.76%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 15:20
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.90%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-27 16:40
Caesars🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.90%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.90%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.31%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-27 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.31%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-27 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 14:09
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 14:10
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 14:09
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 14:14
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 14:09
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:30
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:35
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 14:20
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 14:34
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 14:15
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 16:30
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.30%E -3.96%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.48%E -4.76%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-27 17:00
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.18%E -3.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 17:00
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.59%E -0.949%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.59%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:13
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.59%E -0.949%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.59%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:13
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.59%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -7.48%E -4.76%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.42%EV -8.83%E -3.98%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.66%E -5.59%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-27 16:33
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -0.996%E -0.593%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.43%EV -12.78%E -8.64%K -26.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.57%EV -14.58%E -7.01%K -13.50%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-24 14:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-27 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-27 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-27 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-27 16:50
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-27 16:29
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-27 17:00
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-09-27 17:00
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-09-27 17:00
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-09-27 17:00
BetOpenly◎1.68I 59.52%NM 50.00%1.68I 59.52%NM 50.00%19.0%2026-09-27 16:59