Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jacksonville Jaguars v New England Patriots

Inizio: 2026-09-27 17:02 UTC

Finale: Jacksonville Jaguars 35–6 New England Patriots

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Casa)

Previsione 58.93%1.70quota equa
EV -0.996%
Vantaggio -0.593%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.25%58.83%58.94%60.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.621.621.6867.57%61.64%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

New England Patriots (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.07%2.43quota equa
EV +0.619%
Vantaggio +0.253%
Kelly +0.427%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.36%41.17%41.06%43.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.082.322.322.4548.08%43.14%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jacksonville Jaguars (Casa): 58.93%; New England Patriots (Trasferta): 41.07%. Per New England Patriots (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.43. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.45, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.619%.

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.30%E -3.96%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +0.619%E +0.253%K +0.427%G +0.003%3.7%2026-09-27 15:54
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -0.202%E -0.083%K -0.141%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-27 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.43%E -0.598%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-27 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.43%E -0.598%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-27 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.43%E -0.598%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 16:05
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.26%E -0.948%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-27 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 15:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:33
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-24 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-24 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-24 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-24 14:09
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-24 14:37
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 15:40
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:05
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.48%E -4.76%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.49%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 15:20
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.90%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-27 16:40
Caesars🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.90%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.90%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.31%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-27 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.31%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-27 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 14:09
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 14:10
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 14:09
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 14:14
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 14:09
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.72%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:30
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.76%E -1.68%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:35
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 14:20
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.80%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 14:34
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 14:15
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 16:30
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.30%E -3.96%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.48%E -4.76%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-27 17:00
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.18%E -3.18%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 17:00
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.59%E -0.949%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.59%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:13
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.59%E -0.949%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.59%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:13
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.59%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -7.48%E -4.76%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.42%EV -8.83%E -3.98%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.66%E -5.59%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-27 16:33
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -0.996%E -0.593%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -11.29%E -5.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.43%EV -12.78%E -8.64%K -26.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.57%EV -14.58%E -7.01%K -13.50%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-24 14:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-27 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-27 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-27 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-09-27 16:50
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-27 16:29
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-27 17:00
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-09-27 17:00
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-09-27 17:00
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-09-27 17:00
BetOpenly◎1.68I 59.52%NM 50.00%1.68I 59.52%NM 50.00%19.0%2026-09-27 16:59