Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jaguars v Cleveland Browns

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 75.96%1.32fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -6.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.30%76.03%75.82%77.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.251.251.2989.29%80.12%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Browns (Visit)

Prediction 24.04%4.16fair odd
EV +2.18%
Edge +0.513%
Kelly +0.670%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%23.97%24.18%25.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.953.954.2528.17%25.31%25.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local): 75.96%; Cleveland Browns (Visit): 24.04%. For Cleveland Browns (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.25, producing a positive expected value of +2.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.33%E -6.01%K -33.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +2.18%E +0.513%K +0.670%G +0.015%5.5%2026-08-07 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.976%E +0.232%K +0.305%G +0.003%4.5%2026-08-07 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.976%E +0.232%K +0.305%G +0.003%4.5%2026-08-14 19:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.976%E +0.232%K +0.305%G +0.003%4.5%2026-06-29 23:29
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.43%E -0.348%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.43%E -0.348%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:39
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.43%E -0.348%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.43%E -0.348%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.43%E -0.348%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:39
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.43%E -0.348%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.43%E -0.348%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.43%E -0.348%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.43%E -0.348%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.43%E -0.348%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.43%E -0.348%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 23:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.53%E -2.78%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.83%E -0.958%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 21:44
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.83%E -0.958%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 05:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.83%E -0.958%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 10:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.57%E -5.34%K -28.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.83%E -0.958%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 23:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.33%E -6.01%K -33.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.83%E -0.958%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 19:14
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.53%E -2.78%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 18:34
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.53%E -2.78%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 18:10
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.29%E -3.41%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.03%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 18:34
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.77%E -2.17%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.29%E -3.41%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 22:14
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.29%E -3.41%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.29%E -3.41%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -2.77%E -2.17%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -6.48%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -2.77%E -2.17%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -6.48%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -2.01%E -1.56%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-10 20:15
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.77%E -2.17%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-10 20:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 11:49
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:44
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.33%E -6.01%K -33.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 21:04
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.33%E -6.01%K -33.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.00%EV -4.29%E -3.41%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.00%EV -9.12%E -2.41%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.77%E -2.17%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.04%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 16:00
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.77%E -2.17%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.04%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:34
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.81%E -4.69%K -24.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -12.25%E -3.36%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 19:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 76.02%EV -14.93%E -13.33%K -124.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.98%EV -14.65%E -4.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%17.5%2026-08-14 18:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-08-14 19:09
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%4.1%2026-08-14 19:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%5.0%2026-08-14 19:40
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 76.12%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%6.8%2026-08-14 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%7.8%2026-08-14 19:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%7.8%2026-08-14 19:39
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%8.6%2026-06-29 23:30

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