Language:English
Jacksonville Jaguars v Cleveland Browns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)
Prediction 78.25%1.28fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -5.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%78.03%78.43%79.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.221.221.2689.29%82.23%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Browns (Visit)
Prediction 21.75%4.60fair odd
EV +5.48%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.078%
assuming max odds 4.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.17%21.97%21.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.364.404.8526.67%22.95%22.73%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local): 78.25%; Cleveland Browns (Visit): 21.75%. For Cleveland Browns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.77%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.23%EV +5.48%E +1.13%K +1.42%G +0.078% | 1.9% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.30%E +0.696%K +0.881%G +0.029% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.30%E +0.696%K +0.881%G +0.029% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.042%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.66%E -6.49%K -42.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +0.042%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 12:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 12:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 09:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -2.57%E -0.573%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.56%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.44%EV -2.79%E -0.623%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.56%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.44%EV -2.79%E -0.623%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.22%E -0.724%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.22%E -0.724%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV -3.87%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 11:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.64%EV -2.19%E -1.75%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.36%EV -5.61%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.83%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.83%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.45%E -7.22%K -49.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 11:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 14:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 11:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 11:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 16:46 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.46%EV -8.45%E -7.22%K -49.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.00%EV -1.40%E -1.11%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.00%EV -17.79%E -4.71%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 77.00%EV -12.36%E -11.03%K -102.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -18.44%E -4.92%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39% | 0.5% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.06% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.94% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 2.6% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |