Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jaguars v Cleveland Browns

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 76.29%1.31fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -11.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.85%76.29%76.19%78.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.251.251.2786.21%80.25%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Browns (Visit)

Prediction 23.71%4.22fair odd
EV +1.97%
Edge +0.457%
Kelly +0.595%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.96%23.71%23.81%25.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.994.004.3027.40%25.06%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local): 76.29%; Cleveland Browns (Visit): 23.71%. For Cleveland Browns (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.30, producing a positive expected value of +1.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.69%E -6.36%K -36.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +1.97%E +0.457%K +0.595%G +0.012%5.9%2026-09-03 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.40%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.779%E +0.183%K +0.240%G +0.002%4.2%2026-09-03 08:35
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.40%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.406%E -0.097%K -0.127%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.17%E -5.01%K -26.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.406%E -0.097%K -0.127%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -1.59%E -0.384%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -1.59%E -0.384%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 16:45
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -1.59%E -0.384%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 02:29
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -2.30%E -0.559%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.78%E -0.677%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.78%E -0.677%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.12%E -2.45%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.78%E -0.677%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.78%E -0.677%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.78%E -0.677%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.78%E -0.677%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 19:59
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.78%E -0.677%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 01:03
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.78%E -0.677%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 20:30
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.78%E -0.677%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 14:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.78%E -0.677%K -0.896%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 17:59
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.40%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.96%E -0.979%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:49
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.40%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.96%E -0.979%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 20:40
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 13:14
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 13:15
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 13:14
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 15:25
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 15:24
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 16:44
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 09:49
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 09:50
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 19:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 13:14
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 12:53
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 09:43
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.40%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 09:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.71%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.40%E -4.36%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 09:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 15:25
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 15:24
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.88%E -3.08%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:43
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.08%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 13:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.88%EV -11.51%E -9.92%K -71.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -13.45%E -3.68%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-02 09:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-03 13:20
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-03 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-02 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-02 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-02 20:30
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-09-03 11:35
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%2.2%2026-09-03 18:29
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-09-03 21:10