L’École des cotes

Jacksonville Jaguars v Cleveland Browns

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prévision 76.42%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -4.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.80%76.30%76.63%77.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.241.241.2990.09%80.38%80.65%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Browns (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.58%4.24cote équitable
EV +0.214%
Avantage +0.050%
Kelly +0.066%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.45%23.70%23.37%25.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.014.004.2527.78%24.93%25.00%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.214%E +0.050%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 20:29
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.214%E +0.050%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 09:05
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +0.214%E +0.050%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 22:59
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 20:29
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 20:29
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 20:59
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 23:29
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 00:09
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 06:50
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:39
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:39
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 23:29
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.71%E -2.94%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 20:29
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 20:30
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 05:40
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:10
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:20
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 02:10
MyBookie.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 23:29
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 19:14
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.95%E -2.32%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.86%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 18:10
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.18%E -1.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.04%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 17:59
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.04%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -2.18%E -1.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -8.27%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 17:59
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -2.18%E -1.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -8.27%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 18:00
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -1.42%E -1.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -9.22%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 19:29
Bovada1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.18%E -1.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 18:10
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 11:49
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 18:20
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 18:19
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.00%EV -3.71%E -2.94%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.00%EV -10.87%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 23:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 22:59
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -12.75%E -3.45%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 18:44
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 76.43%EV -15.17%E -13.67%K -137.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -15.11%E -4.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-23 21:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 23.01%-0.1%2026-07-25 05:20
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%8.6%2026-06-29 23:30