Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jacksonville Jaguars v Cleveland Browns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 17:03 UTC

Score final : Jacksonville Jaguars 34–10 Cleveland Browns

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prévision 78.25%1.28cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -5.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.00%78.03%78.43%79.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.121.221.221.2689.29%82.23%81.97%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cleveland Browns (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.75%4.60cote équitable
EV +5.48%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.078%

avec la cote maximale 4.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.17%21.97%21.57%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.364.404.8526.67%22.95%22.73%20.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jacksonville Jaguars (Local) : 78.25% ; Cleveland Browns (Visiteur) : 21.75%. Pour Cleveland Browns (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.60. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.85, soit une espérance positive de +5.48%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.77%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.23%EV +5.48%E +1.13%K +1.42%G +0.078%1.9%2026-09-13 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.30%E +0.696%K +0.881%G +0.029%4.4%2026-09-13 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.30%E +0.696%K +0.881%G +0.029%4.4%2026-09-13 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.042%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 16:10
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.66%E -6.49%K -42.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +0.042%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 12:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 12:35
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:50
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 12:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 16:45
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 17:00
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 08:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 09:04
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 12:05
GTbets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -2.57%E -0.573%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.56%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.44%EV -2.79%E -0.623%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.56%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.44%EV -2.79%E -0.623%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.22%E -0.724%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.22%E -0.724%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV -3.87%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:40
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 11:40
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 12:05
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.64%EV -2.19%E -1.75%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.36%EV -5.61%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.83%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.83%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:01
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:35
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 12:00
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.45%E -7.22%K -49.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 11:39
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:40
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:40
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:40
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 16:40
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 11:19
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 11:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:05
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:05
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 16:46
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:59
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.46%EV -8.45%E -7.22%K -49.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.00%EV -1.40%E -1.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.00%EV -17.79%E -4.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 77.00%EV -12.36%E -11.03%K -102.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -18.44%E -4.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-13 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-09-13 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-09-13 17:00
Novig◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39%0.5%2026-09-13 16:25
BetOpenly◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.06%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.94%0.7%2026-09-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-09-13 13:55
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-09-13 16:35
ProphetX◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-09-13 17:01
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-09-13 17:01
Polymarket◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-09-13 17:00
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%2.6%2026-09-13 17:00