Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jacksonville Jaguars v Cleveland Browns

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Predicción 77.84%1.28momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -7.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.00%77.93%77.89%81.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.131.221.221.2688.50%81.73%81.97%79.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Browns (Visitante)

Predicción 22.16%4.51momio equitativo
EV +16.35%
Ventaja +3.11%
Kelly +3.85%
Crecimiento +0.629%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.22%22.07%22.11%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.654.254.225.2527.40%23.53%23.67%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jacksonville Jaguars (Local): 77.84%; Cleveland Browns (Visitante): 22.16%. Para Cleveland Browns (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.51. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.25, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +16.35%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -8.93%E -7.63%K -52.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +16.35%E +3.11%K +3.85%G +0.629%4.5%2026-09-09 15:50
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.94%E +0.423%K +0.540%G +0.010%3.7%2026-09-09 10:10
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.94%E +0.423%K +0.540%G +0.010%4.4%2026-09-09 01:24
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.26%E -3.46%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.272%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-08 09:19
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.272%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 09:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.272%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 10:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.272%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 10:09
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.59%E -5.50%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.272%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 17:00
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.59%E -5.50%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.272%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.59%E -5.50%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.272%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 08:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.59%E -5.50%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.272%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 09:04
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.26%E -3.46%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.49%E -0.566%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 02:19
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.49%E -0.566%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:30
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.49%E -0.566%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 11:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.59%E -5.50%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.49%E -0.566%K -0.732%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.60%E -0.827%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 06:34
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.60%E -0.827%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 01:24
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.59%E -5.50%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -3.60%E -0.827%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.48%E -2.81%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.70%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 08:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.70%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -1.92%E -1.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 10:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -1.92%E -1.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -1.92%E -1.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 10:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%EV -1.92%E -1.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 10:50
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.48%E -2.81%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 15:30
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.59%E -5.50%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 10:09
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.70%E -2.16%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 13:10
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.70%E -2.16%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.48%E -2.81%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 07:20
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.48%E -2.81%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 10:10
TAB🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.26%E -3.46%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.92%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:50
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.02%EV -2.70%E -2.16%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.98%EV -7.14%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 00:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.70%E -2.16%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -7.81%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 13:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.70%E -2.16%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -7.81%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 13:05
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.48%E -2.81%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -8.03%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:54
Everygame🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.26%E -3.46%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -8.03%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 08:00
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.59%EV -7.37%E -6.20%K -38.80%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.41%EV -8.69%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 02:44
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.59%EV -7.37%E -6.20%K -38.80%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.41%EV -8.69%E -2.11%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 02:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.70%E -2.16%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 10:49
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.48%E -2.81%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:49
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.48%E -2.81%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:04
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.48%E -2.81%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:09
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.48%E -2.81%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:04
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.48%E -2.81%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 12:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.93%E -7.63%K -52.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 19:14
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -3.48%E -2.81%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -10.25%E -2.53%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 10:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.48%E -2.81%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 08:54
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.59%E -5.50%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 09:15
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.59%E -5.50%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 09:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.00%EV -1.92%E -1.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.00%EV -16.23%E -4.29%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 14:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 76.36%EV -12.04%E -10.66%K -92.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.64%EV -19.11%E -5.24%K -7.21%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-09 10:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93%0.4%2026-09-09 02:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-09-09 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-09-09 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-09-09 16:40
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-09 17:30
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-09 03:44
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-07 23:30
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-09 17:00
BetOpenly1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.48%1.9%2026-09-09 17:14
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%8.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Arbitraje (23 combinaciones) +1.61%Unibet (SE) 1.26 (80.6%) / Betway 5.25 (19.4%)Ver las 23 combinaciones
Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)Cleveland Browns (Visitante)Margen
Unibet (SE)🎯 1.26 (80.6%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.4%)+1.61%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.26 (80.6%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.4%)+1.61%
ATG (SE)🎯 1.26 (80.6%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.4%)+1.61%
Svenska Spel🎯 1.26 (80.6%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.4%)+1.61%
Marathon Bet🎯 1.26 (80.6%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.4%)+1.61%
BetUS🎯 1.25 (80.8%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.2%)+0.962%
BetAnything🎯 1.25 (80.8%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.2%)+0.962%
Pinnacle🎯 1.25 (80.8%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.2%)+0.962%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.25 (80.8%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.2%)+0.962%
LowVig.ag🎯 1.25 (80.8%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.2%)+0.962%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 1.25 (80.8%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.2%)+0.962%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
Fanatics🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
Caesars🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
GTbets🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
LeoVegas🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
BetRivers🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
Unibet🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
betPARX🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
Bally Bet🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
Bet Right🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
Bovada🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%
Dabble (AU)🎯 1.24 (80.9%)Betway🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.308%