La escuela de los momios

Jacksonville Jaguars v Cleveland Browns

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Predicción 76.42%1.31momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -4.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.80%76.30%76.63%77.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.241.241.2990.09%80.38%80.65%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Browns (Visitante)

Predicción 23.58%4.24momio equitativo
EV +0.214%
Ventaja +0.050%
Kelly +0.066%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.45%23.70%23.37%25.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.014.004.2527.78%24.93%25.00%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.214%E +0.050%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 20:29
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.214%E +0.050%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 09:05
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +0.214%E +0.050%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 22:59
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 20:29
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 20:29
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 20:59
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 23:29
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.964%E -0.230%K -0.301%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 00:09
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 06:50
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:39
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:39
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 15:40
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.32%E -0.810%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 23:29
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.71%E -2.94%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 20:29
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 20:30
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 05:40
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:10
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:20
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 02:10
MyBookie.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.00%E -4.88%K -26.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 23:29
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.68%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 19:14
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.95%E -2.32%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.86%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 18:10
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.18%E -1.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -8.04%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 17:59
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.04%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -2.18%E -1.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -8.27%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 17:59
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -2.18%E -1.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -8.27%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 18:00
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -1.42%E -1.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -9.22%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 19:29
Bovada1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.18%E -1.70%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 18:10
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 11:49
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 18:20
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.77%E -5.55%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 18:19
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.00%EV -3.71%E -2.94%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.00%EV -10.87%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 23:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.47%E -3.58%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 22:59
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.24%E -4.23%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -12.75%E -3.45%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 18:44
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 76.43%EV -15.17%E -13.67%K -137.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -15.11%E -4.20%K -5.81%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-23 21:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-07-26 03:10
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%8.6%2026-06-29 23:30