默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jacksonville Jaguars v Cleveland Browns

开赛时间: 2026-09-13 17:03 UTC

最终结果: Jacksonville Jaguars 34–10 Cleveland Browns

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jacksonville Jaguars (主队)

预测 78.25%1.28公平赔率
EV -1.40%
优势 -1.11%
Kelly -5.39%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.26

博彩公司预测分布
75.00%78.03%78.43%79.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.221.221.2689.29%82.23%81.97%79.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cleveland Browns (客队)

预测 21.75%4.60公平赔率
EV +5.48%
优势 +1.13%
Kelly +1.42%
增长率 +0.078%

假设最高赔率为 4.85

博彩公司预测分布
20.17%21.97%21.57%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.364.404.8526.67%22.95%22.73%20.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Jacksonville Jaguars (主队):78.25%;Cleveland Browns (客队):21.75%。 对于“Cleveland Browns (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.60。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.85,对应+5.48%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.77%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.23%EV +5.48%E +1.13%K +1.42%G +0.078%1.9%2026-09-13 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.30%E +0.696%K +0.881%G +0.029%4.4%2026-09-13 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.30%E +0.696%K +0.881%G +0.029%4.4%2026-09-13 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.042%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 16:10
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.66%E -6.49%K -42.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +0.042%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 12:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 12:35
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:50
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 12:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 16:45
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 17:00
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 08:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 09:04
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.13%E -0.474%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 12:05
GTbets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -2.57%E -0.573%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.56%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.44%EV -2.79%E -0.623%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.56%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.44%EV -2.79%E -0.623%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.22%E -0.724%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.22%E -0.724%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -5.32%E -4.39%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV -3.87%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 14:40
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 11:40
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 12:05
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.31%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.64%EV -2.19%E -1.75%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.36%EV -5.61%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.83%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.83%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:01
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:35
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 12:00
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.45%E -7.22%K -49.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 11:39
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:40
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:40
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:40
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 16:40
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 11:19
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 11:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:05
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.10%E -5.08%K -30.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:05
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -2.97%E -2.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 16:46
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.75%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:59
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.72%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.46%EV -8.45%E -7.22%K -49.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.00%EV -1.40%E -1.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.00%EV -17.79%E -4.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 77.00%EV -12.36%E -11.03%K -102.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -18.44%E -4.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-13 16:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-09-13 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-09-13 17:00
Novig◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39%0.5%2026-09-13 16:25
BetOpenly◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.06%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.94%0.7%2026-09-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-09-13 13:55
Matchbook◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-09-13 16:35
ProphetX◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-09-13 17:01
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-09-13 17:01
Polymarket◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-09-13 17:00
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%2.6%2026-09-13 17:00