Houston Texans v Buffalo Bills

2026-09-13 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (16 in analysis)

Option 1: Houston Texans (Local)

Odds

1.7357.80%Min

1.9451.61%Mean

1.9451.41%Median

2.0050.00%Max

Consensus probabilities

47.37%2.111Min

50.00%2.000Max

49.14%2.035Mean

48.95%2.043Median

49.03%2.039IQM

49.18%2.033Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 49.03%

EV -1.93%Edge -0.967%Kelly -1.93%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Odds

1.6759.88%Min

1.8553.97%Mean

1.8554.05%Median

1.9451.55%Max

Consensus probabilities

50.00%2.000Min

52.63%1.900Max

50.86%1.966Mean

51.05%1.959Median

50.97%1.962IQM

50.82%1.968Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.94 under the IQM model: 50.97%

EV -1.12%Edge -0.579%Kelly -1.19%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Houston Texans (Local) ▼	Buffalo Bills (Visit)	Margin	Updated
William Hill	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -1.93% E -0.967% K -1.93% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -8.26% E -4.59% K -10.32% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-28 16:10
Unibet	1.98I 50.51% NM 48.17%EV -2.92% E -1.47% K -2.98% G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35% NM 51.83%EV -6.22% E -3.38% K -7.40% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (NL)	1.97I 50.76% NM 48.16%EV -3.41% E -1.73% K -3.51% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.84%EV -6.73% E -3.68% K -8.11% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-10 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)	1.97I 50.76% NM 48.16%EV -3.41% E -1.73% K -3.51% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.84%EV -6.73% E -3.68% K -8.11% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (SE)	1.97I 50.76% NM 48.16%EV -3.41% E -1.73% K -3.51% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.84%EV -6.73% E -3.68% K -8.11% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-10 11:00
Bally Bet	1.97I 50.76% NM 48.16%EV -3.41% E -1.73% K -3.51% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.84%EV -6.73% E -3.68% K -8.11% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-10 11:10
betPARX	1.97I 50.76% NM 48.16%EV -3.41% E -1.73% K -3.51% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.84%EV -6.73% E -3.68% K -8.11% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-10 11:04
Svenska Spel	1.97I 50.76% NM 48.16%EV -3.41% E -1.73% K -3.51% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.84%EV -6.73% E -3.68% K -8.11% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-10 11:10
ATG (SE)	1.97I 50.76% NM 48.16%EV -3.41% E -1.73% K -3.51% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.84%EV -6.73% E -3.68% K -8.11% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-10 11:10
BetRivers	1.96I 51.02% NM 48.28%EV -3.90% E -1.99% K -4.06% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.72%EV -6.73% E -3.68% K -8.11% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-10 11:10
Caesars	1.95I 51.28% NM 49.09%EV -4.39% E -2.25% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19% NM 50.91%EV -4.18% E -2.22% K -4.75% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-18 20:55
Fanatics	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.39% E -2.25% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.69% E -2.51% K -5.39% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-22 22:39
BetMGM	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.39% E -2.25% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.69% E -2.51% K -5.39% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-15 00:54
theScore Bet	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.39% E -2.25% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.69% E -2.51% K -5.39% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-15 02:10
GTbets	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.39% E -2.25% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.69% E -2.51% K -5.39% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-21 14:00
Hard Rock Bet	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.39% E -2.25% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.69% E -2.51% K -5.39% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-20 18:10
LowVig.ag	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.39% E -2.25% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.69% E -2.51% K -5.39% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.39% E -2.25% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.69% E -2.51% K -5.39% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-21 13:59
BetUS	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.39% E -2.25% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.69% E -2.51% K -5.39% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-22 17:20
Coral	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -4.39% E -2.25% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -5.71% E -3.09% K -6.72% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-15 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -4.39% E -2.25% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -5.71% E -3.09% K -6.72% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-15 00:54
TAB	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -4.39% E -2.25% K -4.62% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -5.71% E -3.09% K -6.72% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-15 05:40
Pinnacle	1.94I 51.55% NM 50.00%EV -4.88% E -2.51% K -5.19% G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55% NM 50.00%EV -1.12% E -0.579% K -1.19% G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-05-31 01:20
FanDuel	1.94I 51.55% NM 49.61%EV -4.88% E -2.51% K -5.19% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.39%EV -2.65% E -1.39% K -2.91% G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-29 23:00
SportsBet	1.94I 51.55% NM 49.48%EV -4.88% E -2.51% K -5.19% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.52%EV -3.16% E -1.66% K -3.51% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-29 22:59
Unibet (UK)	1.94I 51.55% NM 49.21%EV -4.88% E -2.51% K -5.19% G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19% NM 50.79%EV -4.18% E -2.22% K -4.75% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-15 06:14
Neds	1.94I 51.55% NM 49.08%EV -4.88% E -2.51% K -5.19% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.92%EV -4.69% E -2.51% K -5.39% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-15 00:54
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.94I 51.55% NM 49.08%EV -4.88% E -2.51% K -5.19% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.92%EV -4.69% E -2.51% K -5.39% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-15 00:54
ReBet	1.94I 51.55% NM 49.08%EV -4.88% E -2.51% K -5.19% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.92%EV -4.69% E -2.51% K -5.39% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-28 15:45
DraftKings	1.93I 51.81% NM 49.48%EV -5.37% E -2.78% K -5.77% G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91% NM 50.52%EV -3.67% E -1.94% K -4.13% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-02 09:55
Bet Right	1.93I 51.81% NM 49.21%EV -5.37% E -2.78% K -5.77% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.79%EV -4.69% E -2.51% K -5.39% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 19:50
Coolbet	1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -5.37% E -2.78% K -5.77% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -5.71% E -3.09% K -6.72% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-15 18:00
Tipico (DE)	1.93I 51.81% NM 48.67%EV -5.37% E -2.78% K -5.77% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.33%EV -6.73% E -3.68% K -8.11% G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-28 15:39
Marathon Bet	1.92I 52.08% NM 49.21%EV -5.86% E -3.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76% NM 50.79%EV -5.20% E -2.80% K -6.05% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-19 19:40
MyBookie.ag	1.92I 52.08% NM 49.07%EV -5.86% E -3.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 50.93%EV -5.71% E -3.09% K -6.72% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-04 16:49
Betsson	1.92I 52.08% NM 48.94%EV -5.86% E -3.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35% NM 51.06%EV -6.22% E -3.38% K -7.40% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-28 15:38
NordicBet	1.92I 52.08% NM 48.94%EV -5.86% E -3.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35% NM 51.06%EV -6.22% E -3.38% K -7.40% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-28 15:39
Bovada	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -6.35% E -3.32% K -6.98% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -2.65% E -1.39% K -2.91% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-02 09:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.35% E -3.32% K -6.98% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.73% E -3.68% K -8.11% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-17 23:50
Paddy Power	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.35% E -3.32% K -6.98% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.73% E -3.68% K -8.11% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-14 23:48
PointsBet (AU)	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -6.84% E -3.60% K -7.60% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -3.16% E -1.66% K -3.51% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 23:00
Betclic (FR)	1.90I 52.63% NM 48.92%EV -6.84% E -3.60% K -7.60% G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95% NM 51.08%EV -7.24% E -3.98% K -8.83% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-28 15:38
LeoVegas	1.88I 53.19% NM 49.33%EV -7.82% E -4.16% K -8.88% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 50.67%EV -6.73% E -3.68% K -8.11% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-04 10:25
NetBet (FR)	1.73I 57.80% NM 49.12%EV -15.17% E -8.77% K -20.79% G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88% NM 50.88%EV -14.88% E -8.91% K -22.22% G +0.000%	17.7%	2026-06-18 10:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Houston Texans (Local)	Buffalo Bills (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi	1.92I 52.08%	1.85I 54.05%	6.1%	2026-07-03 10:10
Smarkets	1.88I 53.19%	1.81I 55.25%	8.4%	2026-05-28 15:39