The School of Odds

Houston Texans v Buffalo Bills

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Houston Texans (Local)

Prediction 48.86%2.05fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.83%48.93%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.751.941.952.0057%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Prediction 51.14%1.96fair odd
EV -0.784%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.834%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.17%51.07%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.651.841.851.9461%54%54%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:15
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:15
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:13
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:15
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 16:10
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.90%E -3.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 11:10
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 19:15
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:00
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:04
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.24%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 19:20
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.24%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 11:10
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.85%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:55
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 00:54
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:15
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 18:10
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:59
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 17:20
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 02:10
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 00:54
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:15
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:15
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -0.784%E -0.404%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-31 01:20
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 23:00
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -2.83%E -1.49%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 22:59
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 00:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.36%E -2.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 00:54
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.70%E -2.96%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 19:13
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.70%E -2.96%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 09:39
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.70%E -2.96%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 15:39
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.19%E -3.23%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.88%E -2.62%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 23:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.41%E -3.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 23:48
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.77%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.49%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 02:20
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -7.17%E -3.77%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -6.92%E -3.80%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 15:38
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.17%E -3.77%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 18:29
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.17%E -3.77%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 19:15
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.17%E -3.77%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.94%E -4.41%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-20 19:15
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 48.53%EV -14.50%E -8.29%K -19.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 51.47%EV -15.62%E -9.46%K -24.02%G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-22 13:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-25 13:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-07-20 19:15