L’École des cotes

Houston Texans v Buffalo Bills

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Texans (Local)

Prévision 48.89%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%48.85%48.93%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.941.952.0057.14%51.49%51.28%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Buffalo Bills (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.11%1.96cote équitable
EV -0.849%
Avantage -0.438%
Kelly -0.904%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.15%51.07%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.851.851.9460.61%54.11%54.05%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.22%E -1.11%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:15
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.22%E -1.11%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.22%E -1.11%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:15
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.22%E -1.11%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.00%E -4.45%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 16:10
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.19%E -1.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.96%E -3.24%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 11:10
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.19%E -1.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 19:15
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:00
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:04
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.17%E -2.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 11:10
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.92%E -2.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:55
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 00:54
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:15
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 18:10
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:59
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 17:20
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 02:10
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.94%E -2.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:15
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 00:54
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:15
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:15
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -5.15%E -2.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -0.849%E -0.438%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-31 01:20
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.15%E -2.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.38%E -1.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 23:00
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -5.15%E -2.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 22:59
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.15%E -2.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 00:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.15%E -2.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 00:54
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 19:13
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 09:39
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 15:39
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.13%E -3.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.94%E -2.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 08:00
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.62%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 23:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.62%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 23:48
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 02:20
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 18:14
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -6.98%E -3.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 15:38
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.60%E -4.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.49%E -4.14%K -9.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 18:15
NordicBet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.60%E -4.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.49%E -4.14%K -9.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 18:15
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 48.53%EV -14.44%E -8.25%K -19.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 51.47%EV -15.67%E -9.50%K -24.11%G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-22 13:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-07-25 20:15
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-07-20 19:15