Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Houston Texans v Buffalo Bills

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Houston Texans (Local)

Prévision 48.21%2.07cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.809%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.30%48.27%48.18%49.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.761.971.982.0456.82%50.76%50.51%49.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Buffalo Bills (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.79%1.93cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.79%51.73%51.82%52.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.831.831.8959.52%54.61%54.64%52.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Houston Texans (Local) : 48.21% ; Buffalo Bills (Visiteur) : 51.79%. Pour Houston Texans (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.07. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.04, pour une espérance de -1.65% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%EV -1.65%E -0.809%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 21:49
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.61%E -1.29%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 22:25
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -3.10%E -1.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-08 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.10%E -1.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.10%E -1.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:55
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 23:44
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 23:00
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 23:39
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 16:59
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 22:24
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 10:09
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 02:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 00:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 22:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 17:04
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 23:35
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 17:00
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 23:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 22:24
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 22:25
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 02:43
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:45
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:44
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 23:29
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 00:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 02:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 19:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.12%E -1.12%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.12%E -1.12%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.12%E -1.12%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 15:54
ReBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 20:34
Caesars🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 19:40
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 17:50
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 14:34
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 00:10
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 01:09
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.47%E -3.34%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:50
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.47%E -3.34%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.95%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.95%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.95%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.95%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 07:29
Betsson🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.95%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 06:04
NordicBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.95%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 06:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -7.44%E -3.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -3.67%E -1.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 06:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -8.40%E -4.42%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 20:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.85%E -5.27%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.84%EV -15.15%E -8.61%K -19.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.16%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-07 09:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.11I 47.39%NM 47.38%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.62%0.0%2026-09-09 07:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-09-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-09-09 05:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-09-09 05:15
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-09-09 05:15
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-09-09 06:31
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-09 05:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-08 19:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-09 05:54
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%8.2%2026-09-09 07:25