Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Texans v Buffalo Bills

Início: 2026-09-13 17:04 UTC

Final: Houston Texans 31–36 Buffalo Bills

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Texans (Local)

Previsão 48.58%2.06odd justa
EV -0.415%
Vantagem -0.203%
Kelly -0.395%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.34%48.58%48.56%51.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.961.972.0555.56%50.99%50.76%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Buffalo Bills (Visitante)

Previsão 51.42%1.94odd justa
EV +0.273%
Vantagem +0.140%
Kelly +0.287%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.68%51.42%51.44%53.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.841.851.9560.61%54.22%54.05%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Texans (Local): 48.58%; Buffalo Bills (Visitante): 51.42%. Para Buffalo Bills (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.94. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.95, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.273%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.13%E -5.48%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.273%E +0.140%K +0.287%G +0.001%5.3%2026-09-13 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.13%E -5.48%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +0.273%E +0.140%K +0.287%G +0.001%5.3%2026-09-13 17:00
Coolbet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -0.756%E -0.391%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-13 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.82%E -1.93%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.756%E -0.391%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 16:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.78%E -0.934%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.78%E -0.934%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.05%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.24%E -3.24%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 03:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -8.19%E -4.33%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.30%E -2.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.84%E -2.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.84%E -2.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 16:10
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.84%E -2.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.84%E -2.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.84%E -2.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 16:25
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.84%E -2.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 15:34
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.84%E -2.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 16:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.84%E -2.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.82%E -1.93%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.36%E -2.34%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.36%E -2.34%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.76%E -2.97%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.36%E -2.34%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.87%E -0.927%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 06:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.87%E -0.927%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 06:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.87%E -0.927%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 06:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.87%E -0.927%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 06:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.87%E -0.927%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 17:01
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 02:14
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.82%E -1.93%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:10
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.82%E -1.93%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:01
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.82%E -1.93%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.79%E -2.44%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:10
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.76%E -2.97%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.24%E -3.24%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.87%E -2.63%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 17:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.76%E -2.97%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.38%E -2.93%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:10
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 06:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 06:35
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 06:35
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 06:35
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 06:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 08:40
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 14:30
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:25
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.90%E -3.22%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.415%E -0.203%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.44%E -4.13%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 12:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.44%E -4.13%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:45
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.44%E -4.13%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 16:59
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.44%E -4.13%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.44%E -4.13%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.44%E -4.13%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.30%E -2.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.44%E -4.13%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.44%E -4.13%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.44%E -4.13%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 16:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -7.70%E -4.05%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.47%E -4.76%K -10.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 16:55
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.415%E -0.203%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.98%E -5.08%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -11.59%E -6.37%K -14.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.98%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.83%EV -12.56%E -6.98%K -15.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 52.17%EV -15.15%E -9.18%K -23.31%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-13 06:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-13 17:01
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-13 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-09-13 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-09-13 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-09-13 17:01
BetOpenly◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-13 16:45
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-13 17:00
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-13 16:20
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-09-13 17:00