Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Texans v Buffalo Bills

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Texans (Local)

Predicción 48.21%2.07momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.809%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.30%48.27%48.18%49.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.761.971.982.0456.82%50.76%50.51%49.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Buffalo Bills (Visitante)

Predicción 51.79%1.93momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.79%51.73%51.82%52.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.831.831.8959.52%54.61%54.64%52.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Houston Texans (Local): 48.21%; Buffalo Bills (Visitante): 51.79%. Para Houston Texans (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.07. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.04, con un valor esperado de -1.65%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%EV -1.65%E -0.809%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 21:49
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.61%E -1.29%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 22:25
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -3.10%E -1.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-08 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.10%E -1.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.10%E -1.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:55
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 23:44
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 23:00
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 23:39
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 16:59
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 22:24
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 10:09
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 02:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 00:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 22:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 17:04
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 23:35
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 17:00
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 23:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 22:24
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 22:25
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 02:43
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:45
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.58%E -1.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:44
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 23:29
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 00:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 02:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.54%E -2.29%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 19:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.12%E -1.12%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.12%E -1.12%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.12%E -1.12%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 15:54
ReBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.02%E -2.55%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 20:34
Caesars🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.51%E -2.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 19:40
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 17:50
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 14:34
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 00:10
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.99%E -3.07%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 01:09
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.47%E -3.34%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:50
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.47%E -3.34%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.15%E -1.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:45
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.95%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.19%E -2.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.95%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.95%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.71%E -2.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 20:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.95%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 07:29
Betsson🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.95%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 06:04
NordicBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.95%E -3.60%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 06:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -7.44%E -3.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -3.67%E -1.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 06:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -8.40%E -4.42%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 20:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.85%E -5.27%K -11.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.84%EV -15.15%E -8.61%K -19.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.16%EV -12.99%E -7.73%K -19.11%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-07 09:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.11I 47.39%NM 47.38%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.62%0.0%2026-09-09 07:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-09-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-09-09 05:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-09-09 05:15
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-09-09 05:15
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-09-09 06:31
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-09 05:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-08 19:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-09 05:54
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%8.2%2026-09-09 07:25