La escuela de los momios

Houston Texans v Buffalo Bills

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Texans (Local)

Predicción 48.89%2.05momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.85%48.93%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.941.952.0057.14%51.49%51.28%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Buffalo Bills (Visitante)

Predicción 51.11%1.96momio equitativo
EV -0.849%
Ventaja -0.438%
Kelly -0.904%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.15%51.07%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.851.851.9460.61%54.11%54.05%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.22%E -1.11%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:15
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.22%E -1.11%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.22%E -1.11%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 19:15
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.22%E -1.11%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.00%E -4.45%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 16:10
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.19%E -1.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.96%E -3.24%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 11:10
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.19%E -1.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 19:15
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:00
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:04
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 11:10
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.17%E -2.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 11:10
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.92%E -2.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 20:55
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 00:54
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:15
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 18:10
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:59
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 17:20
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 02:10
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.94%E -2.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:15
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 00:54
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:15
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:15
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -5.15%E -2.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -0.849%E -0.438%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-31 01:20
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.15%E -2.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.38%E -1.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-29 23:00
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -5.15%E -2.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-29 22:59
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.15%E -2.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 00:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.15%E -2.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.43%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 00:54
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 19:13
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.45%E -2.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 09:39
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 15:39
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.13%E -3.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -4.94%E -2.65%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 08:00
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.62%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 23:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.62%E -3.46%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 23:48
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 02:20
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 18:14
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -6.98%E -3.84%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 15:38
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.60%E -4.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.49%E -4.14%K -9.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 18:15
NordicBet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.60%E -4.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.49%E -4.14%K -9.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 18:15
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 48.53%EV -14.44%E -8.25%K -19.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 51.47%EV -15.67%E -9.50%K -24.11%G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-22 13:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-07-25 20:15
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-07-20 19:15