Language:English
Detroit Lions v New Orleans Saints
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Lions (Local)
Prediction 73.43%1.36fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -7.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.52%73.30%73.47%74.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.291.291.3385.47%77.35%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Orleans Saints (Visit)
Prediction 26.57%3.76fair odd
EV +3.61%
Edge +0.926%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.14%26.70%26.53%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.593.603.9031.75%27.82%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Lions (Local): 73.43%; New Orleans Saints (Visit): 26.57%. For New Orleans Saints (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%EV +3.61%E +0.926%K +1.25%G +0.045% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -6.74%E -5.31%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +0.423%E +0.112%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 19:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 16:31 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 16:53 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -0.640%E -0.171%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -0.640%E -0.171%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -2.50%E -0.681%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -6.01%E -4.69%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -2.50%E -0.681%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 15:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -3.30%E -0.906%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 05:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 11:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 11:23 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.01%E -4.69%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -2.33%E -1.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -4.89%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.07%E -2.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.69%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-07 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.07%E -2.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.01%E -4.69%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.01%E -4.69%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -2.33%E -1.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -11.27%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -3.07%E -2.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -11.80%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 73.53%EV -14.08%E -12.04%K -82.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-07 09:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV -8.21%E -6.57%K -32.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -16.31%E -5.18%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-09-13 16:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |