The School of Odds

Detroit Lions v New Orleans Saints

2026-09-13 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (16 in analysis)

Option 1: Detroit Lions (Local)

1.1586.96%Min
1.2778.51%Mean
1.2878.13%Median
1.3176.34%Max
72.07%1.388Min
76.42%1.309Max
74.20%1.348Mean
74.27%1.346Median
74.26%1.347IQM
74.33%1.345Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.31 under the IQM model: 74.26%

EV -2.72%Edge -2.08%Kelly -8.78%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: New Orleans Saints (Visit)

3.3030.30%Min
3.7526.64%Mean
3.7226.88%Median
4.0524.69%Max
23.58%4.240Min
27.93%3.580Max
25.80%3.876Mean
25.73%3.887Median
25.74%3.885IQM
25.67%3.896Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.05 under the IQM model: 25.74%

EV +4.25%Edge +1.05%Kelly +1.39%Growth +0.059%

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDetroit Lions (Local)New Orleans Saints (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00% NM 76.42%EV -7.18% E -5.74% K -28.70% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.58%EV +4.25% E +1.05% K +1.39% G +0.059%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00% NM 76.42%EV -7.18% E -5.74% K -28.70% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.58%EV +4.25% E +1.05% K +1.39% G +0.059%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00% NM 76.42%EV -7.18% E -5.74% K -28.70% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.58%EV +4.25% E +1.05% K +1.39% G +0.059%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Unibet1.25I 80.00% NM 76.42%EV -7.18% E -5.74% K -28.70% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.58%EV +4.25% E +1.05% K +1.39% G +0.059%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00% NM 76.42%EV -7.18% E -5.74% K -28.70% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.58%EV +4.25% E +1.05% K +1.39% G +0.059%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
betPARX1.25I 80.00% NM 76.42%EV -7.18% E -5.74% K -28.70% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.58%EV +4.25% E +1.05% K +1.39% G +0.059%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00% NM 76.42%EV -7.18% E -5.74% K -28.70% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.58%EV +4.25% E +1.05% K +1.39% G +0.059%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00% NM 76.42%EV -7.18% E -5.74% K -28.70% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.58%EV +4.25% E +1.05% K +1.39% G +0.059%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Fanatics1.27I 78.74% NM 75.90%EV -5.69% E -4.48% K -21.08% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 24.10%EV +2.96% E +0.741% K +0.988% G +0.029%3.7%2026-06-29 23:00
BetMGM1.27I 78.74% NM 75.90%EV -5.69% E -4.48% K -21.08% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 24.10%EV +2.96% E +0.741% K +0.988% G +0.029%3.7%2026-05-15 12:14
SportsBet1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -7.18% E -5.74% K -28.70% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV +2.96% E +0.741% K +0.988% G +0.029%5.0%2026-06-29 22:59
Coral1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -7.18% E -5.74% K -28.70% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV +2.96% E +0.741% K +0.988% G +0.029%5.0%2026-05-15 12:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -7.18% E -5.74% K -28.70% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV +2.96% E +0.741% K +0.988% G +0.029%5.0%2026-05-15 12:14
FanDuel1.27I 78.74% NM 75.67%EV -5.69% E -4.48% K -21.08% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 24.33%EV +1.68% E +0.424% K +0.568% G +0.010%4.1%2026-06-29 23:00
BetRivers1.25I 80.00% NM 75.73%EV -7.18% E -5.74% K -28.70% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.27%EV +0.389% E +0.100% K +0.134% G +0.001%5.6%2026-05-14 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52% NM 74.66%EV -4.21% E -3.26% K -14.50% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 25.34%EV -2.18% E -0.575% K -0.780% G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 09:49
Caesars1.28I 78.13% NM 74.80%EV -4.95% E -3.87% K -17.67% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 25.20%EV -2.18% E -0.575% K -0.780% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 23:28
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13% NM 74.80%EV -4.95% E -3.87% K -17.67% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 25.20%EV -2.18% E -0.575% K -0.780% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 12:14
Neds1.28I 78.13% NM 74.80%EV -4.95% E -3.87% K -17.67% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 25.20%EV -2.18% E -0.575% K -0.780% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 12:14
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92% NM 74.26%EV -3.46% E -2.66% K -11.54% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 25.74%EV -3.47% E -0.926% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-26 14:20
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74% NM 74.70%EV -5.69% E -4.48% K -21.08% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 25.30%EV -3.47% E -0.926% K -1.26% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 08:39
BetUS1.30I 76.92% NM 74.10%EV -3.46% E -2.66% K -11.54% G +0.000%3.72I 26.88% NM 25.90%EV -4.24% E -1.14% K -1.56% G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 17:20
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92% NM 74.00%EV -3.46% E -2.66% K -11.54% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 26.00%EV -4.76% E -1.29% K -1.76% G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92% NM 74.00%EV -3.46% E -2.66% K -11.54% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 26.00%EV -4.76% E -1.29% K -1.76% G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 13:59
DraftKings1.29I 77.52% NM 74.15%EV -4.21% E -3.26% K -14.50% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.85%EV -4.76% E -1.29% K -1.76% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 09:59
GTbets1.29I 77.52% NM 74.15%EV -4.21% E -3.26% K -14.50% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.85%EV -4.76% E -1.29% K -1.76% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 10:00
NordicBet1.26I 79.37% NM 74.60%EV -6.43% E -5.11% K -24.74% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.40%EV -4.76% E -1.29% K -1.76% G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Betsson1.26I 79.37% NM 74.60%EV -6.43% E -5.11% K -24.74% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.40%EV -4.76% E -1.29% K -1.76% G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 09:59
Coolbet1.27I 78.74% NM 74.29%EV -5.69% E -4.48% K -21.08% G +0.000%3.67I 27.25% NM 25.71%EV -5.53% E -1.51% K -2.07% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 23:29
Bovada1.30I 76.92% NM 73.74%EV -3.46% E -2.66% K -11.54% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 26.26%EV -6.05% E -1.66% K -2.28% G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 16:20
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34% NM 73.32%EV -2.72% E -2.08% K -8.78% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.68%EV -7.33% E -2.04% K -2.82% G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 10:29
William Hill1.29I 77.52% NM 73.62%EV -4.21% E -3.26% K -14.50% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.38%EV -7.33% E -2.04% K -2.82% G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 11:30
Bet Right1.29I 77.52% NM 73.62%EV -4.21% E -3.26% K -14.50% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.38%EV -7.33% E -2.04% K -2.82% G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 23:00
ReBet1.30I 76.92% NM 73.20%EV -3.46% E -2.66% K -11.54% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 26.80%EV -8.62% E -2.43% K -3.38% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 23:29
TAB1.30I 76.92% NM 72.92%EV -3.46% E -2.66% K -11.54% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.08%EV -9.91% E -2.83% K -3.96% G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 05:40
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92% NM 72.92%EV -3.46% E -2.66% K -11.54% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.08%EV -9.91% E -2.83% K -3.96% G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 23:29
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -4.21% E -3.26% K -14.50% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -9.91% E -2.83% K -3.96% G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52% NM 72.96%EV -4.21% E -3.26% K -14.50% G +0.000%3.48I 28.74% NM 27.04%EV -10.42% E -2.99% K -4.20% G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 10:38
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92% NM 72.34%EV -3.46% E -2.66% K -11.54% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.66%EV -12.48% E -3.67% K -5.20% G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 10:29
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13% NM 72.65%EV -4.95% E -3.87% K -17.67% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.35%EV -12.48% E -3.67% K -5.20% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-03 19:15
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13% NM 72.65%EV -4.95% E -3.87% K -17.67% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.35%EV -12.48% E -3.67% K -5.20% G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 10:28
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34% NM 72.07%EV -2.72% E -2.08% K -8.78% G +0.000%3.38I 29.59% NM 27.93%EV -13.00% E -3.84% K -5.46% G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96% NM 74.16%EV -14.60% E -12.70% K -97.35% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 25.84%EV -15.06% E -4.56% K -6.55% G +0.000%17.3%2026-07-03 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerDetroit Lions (Local)New Orleans Saints (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%3.70I 27.03%5.2%2026-07-05 11:25
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%3.35I 29.85%8.6%2026-07-02 19:15