The School of Odds

Detroit Lions v New Orleans Saints

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Lions (Local)

Prediction 73.95%1.35fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -10.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.07%74.00%73.92%76.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.151.281.281.3187%78%78%76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New Orleans Saints (Visit)

Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd
EV +5.49%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.80%
Growth +0.099%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.58%26.00%26.08%27.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.713.704.0530%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.19%E +1.05%K +1.40%G +0.059%5.0%2026-06-29 22:59
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +2.89%E +0.732%K +0.980%G +0.028%4.1%2026-06-29 23:00
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +1.59%E +0.407%K +0.547%G +0.009%5.6%2026-05-14 23:45
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-26 14:20
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 13:27
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-16 23:05
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 09:05
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -3.10%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 17:20
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 13:59
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 19:09
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 10:00
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 13:50
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 18:30
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:19
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-14 02:20
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.12%E -2.38%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 23:05
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 16:25
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 16:30
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 11:30
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 08:44
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:10
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 12:35
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -6.49%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 12:05
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.53%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 02:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15%EV -8.05%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 23:05
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15%EV -8.05%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 23:10
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 19:13
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 19:08
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.44%E -3.36%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 02:10
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -3.12%E -2.38%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -11.96%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 74.16%EV -14.96%E -13.00%K -99.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -14.04%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%17.3%2026-07-13 08:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-07-25 00:10
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%8.6%2026-07-20 19:15