La scuola delle quote

Detroit Lions v New Orleans Saints

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

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45 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Detroit Lions (Casa)

Previsione 73.95%1.35quota equa
EV -3.12%
Vantaggio -2.38%
Kelly -10.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.07%74.00%73.92%76.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.281.281.3186.96%78.37%78.13%76.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

New Orleans Saints (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.05%3.84quota equa
EV +5.49%
Vantaggio +1.36%
Kelly +1.80%
Crescita +0.099%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.58%26.00%26.08%27.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.723.704.0530.30%26.91%27.03%24.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.19%E +1.05%K +1.40%G +0.059%5.0%2026-06-29 22:59
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +2.89%E +0.732%K +0.980%G +0.028%4.1%2026-06-29 23:00
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +1.59%E +0.407%K +0.547%G +0.009%5.6%2026-05-14 23:45
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-26 14:20
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 13:27
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-16 23:05
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 18:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 09:05
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -3.10%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 17:20
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 13:59
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 19:09
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 21:45
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 13:50
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 18:30
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-14 02:20
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.12%E -2.38%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 23:05
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 16:25
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 16:30
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 11:30
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 08:44
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:10
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 12:35
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -6.49%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 12:05
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.53%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 02:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15%EV -8.05%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 23:05
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15%EV -8.05%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 23:10
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 19:13
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 19:08
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.44%E -3.36%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 21:04
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -3.12%E -2.38%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -11.96%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 74.16%EV -14.96%E -13.00%K -99.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -14.04%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%17.3%2026-07-13 08:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-07-25 00:10
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%8.6%2026-07-20 19:15