Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Detroit Lions v New Orleans Saints

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 17:05 UTC

Score final : Detroit Lions 31–30 New Orleans Saints

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Detroit Lions (Local)

Prévision 73.43%1.36cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -7.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.52%73.30%73.47%74.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.291.291.3385.47%77.35%77.52%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

New Orleans Saints (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.57%3.76cote équitable
EV +3.61%
Avantage +0.926%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.14%26.70%26.53%28.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.593.603.9031.75%27.82%27.78%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Detroit Lions (Local) : 73.43% ; New Orleans Saints (Visiteur) : 26.57%. Pour New Orleans Saints (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.76. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.90, soit une espérance positive de +3.61%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%EV +3.61%E +0.926%K +1.25%G +0.045%2.0%2026-09-13 14:45
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -6.74%E -5.31%K -24.96%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +0.423%E +0.112%K +0.152%G +0.001%5.2%2026-09-13 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-31 08:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-31 08:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-31 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 19:34
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:31
Everygame🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 16:53
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -0.640%E -0.171%K -0.234%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -0.640%E -0.171%K -0.234%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 08:55
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 15:10
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -2.50%E -0.681%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:01
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -6.01%E -4.69%K -21.45%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -2.50%E -0.681%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 16:55
Caesars🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:14
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 08:55
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 08:55
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 08:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -3.30%E -0.906%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:01
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 05:05
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 15:10
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 15:10
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 11:24
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 11:23
TAB🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 14:59
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 15:20
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:00
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.01%E -4.69%K -21.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 17:01
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -2.33%E -1.75%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -4.89%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 17:01
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.07%E -2.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.69%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 16:41
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 16:45
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 14:50
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 08:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 09:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.07%E -2.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 17:01
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 16:40
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:00
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.01%E -4.69%K -21.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.01%E -4.69%K -21.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 16:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -2.33%E -1.75%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -11.27%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -3.07%E -2.32%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -11.80%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 73.53%EV -14.08%E -12.04%K -82.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-07 09:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV -8.21%E -6.57%K -32.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -16.31%E -5.18%K -7.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63%3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37%0.6%2026-09-13 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 16:55
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-09-09 12:05
Polymarket◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-09-08 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-09-13 17:01
ProphetX◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-09-13 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-09-13 17:01
BetOpenly◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-09-13 16:59
Matchbook◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-09-13 17:00
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-09-13 17:00