L’École des cotes

Detroit Lions v New Orleans Saints

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Lions (Local)

Prévision 73.95%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -10.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.07%74.00%73.92%76.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.281.281.3186.96%78.37%78.13%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New Orleans Saints (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.05%3.84cote équitable
EV +5.49%
Avantage +1.36%
Kelly +1.80%
Croissance +0.099%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.58%26.00%26.08%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.723.704.0530.30%26.91%27.03%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.19%E +1.05%K +1.40%G +0.059%5.0%2026-06-29 22:59
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +2.89%E +0.732%K +0.980%G +0.028%4.1%2026-06-29 23:00
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +1.59%E +0.407%K +0.547%G +0.009%5.6%2026-05-14 23:45
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-26 14:20
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 13:27
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-16 23:05
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 18:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 09:05
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -3.10%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 17:20
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 13:59
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 19:09
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 21:45
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 13:50
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 18:30
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-14 02:20
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.12%E -2.38%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 23:05
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 16:25
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 16:30
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 11:30
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 08:44
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:10
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 12:35
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -6.49%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 12:05
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.53%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 02:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15%EV -8.05%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 23:05
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15%EV -8.05%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 23:10
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 19:13
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 19:08
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.44%E -3.36%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 21:04
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -3.12%E -2.38%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -11.96%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 74.16%EV -14.96%E -13.00%K -99.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -14.04%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%17.3%2026-07-13 08:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-07-25 00:10
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%8.6%2026-07-20 19:15