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Detroit Lions v New Orleans Saints
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Detroit Lions (Local)
Predicción 73.43%1.36momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -7.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.52%73.30%73.47%74.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.291.291.3385.47%77.35%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New Orleans Saints (Visitante)
Predicción 26.57%3.76momio equitativo
EV +3.61%
Ventaja +0.926%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.045%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.14%26.70%26.53%28.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.593.603.9031.75%27.82%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Detroit Lions (Local): 73.43%; New Orleans Saints (Visitante): 26.57%. Para New Orleans Saints (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.76. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.61%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%EV +3.61%E +0.926%K +1.25%G +0.045% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -6.74%E -5.31%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +0.423%E +0.112%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 19:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 16:31 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 16:53 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -0.374%E -0.100%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -0.640%E -0.171%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -0.640%E -0.171%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.70%E -0.460%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -2.50%E -0.681%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -6.01%E -4.69%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -2.50%E -0.681%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 15:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.03%E -0.830%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -3.30%E -0.906%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.80%E -2.90%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 05:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 11:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 11:23 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.27%E -4.09%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.01%E -4.69%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -2.33%E -1.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -4.89%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.07%E -2.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -5.69%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-07 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 08:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.02%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.07%E -2.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.34%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.54%E -3.49%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.01%E -4.69%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.01%E -4.69%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.47%E -5.93%K -28.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.67%E -2.84%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -2.33%E -1.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -11.27%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -3.07%E -2.32%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV -11.80%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 73.53%EV -14.08%E -12.04%K -82.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -13.66%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-07 09:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV -8.21%E -6.57%K -32.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -16.31%E -5.18%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-09-13 17:01 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-09-13 16:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |