La escuela de los momios

Detroit Lions v New Orleans Saints

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Lions (Local)

Predicción 73.95%1.35momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -10.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.07%74.00%73.92%76.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.281.281.3186.96%78.37%78.13%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New Orleans Saints (Visitante)

Predicción 26.05%3.84momio equitativo
EV +5.49%
Ventaja +1.36%
Kelly +1.80%
Crecimiento +0.099%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.58%26.00%26.08%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.723.704.0530.30%26.91%27.03%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +5.49%E +1.36%K +1.80%G +0.099%4.7%2026-05-14 23:45
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.19%E +1.05%K +1.40%G +0.059%5.0%2026-06-29 22:59
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +2.89%E +0.732%K +0.980%G +0.028%4.1%2026-06-29 23:00
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +1.59%E +0.407%K +0.547%G +0.009%5.6%2026-05-14 23:45
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-26 14:20
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 13:27
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-16 23:05
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 18:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.32%E -0.619%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 09:05
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -3.10%E -0.834%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 17:20
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 13:59
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 19:09
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 21:45
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 13:50
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.08%E -4.79%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.62%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 18:30
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-14 02:20
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.12%E -2.38%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 23:05
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 16:25
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 16:30
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 11:30
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 08:44
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:10
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 12:35
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -6.49%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 12:05
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.86%E -2.97%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.53%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 02:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15%EV -8.05%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 23:05
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.56%E -6.05%K -30.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.15%EV -8.05%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 23:10
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-29 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.60%E -3.57%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 19:13
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.83%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 19:08
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.34%E -4.17%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.44%E -3.36%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 21:04
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -3.12%E -2.38%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -11.96%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 74.16%EV -14.96%E -13.00%K -99.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -14.04%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%17.3%2026-07-13 08:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-07-25 00:10
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%8.6%2026-07-20 19:15