Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Buffalo Bills v Detroit Lions

Início: 2026-09-18 00:17 UTC

Final: Buffalo Bills 41–31 Detroit Lions

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Buffalo Bills (Local)

Previsão 68.19%1.47odd justa
EV +4.32%
Vantagem +2.83%
Kelly +8.16%
Crescimento +0.353%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.95%68.09%68.12%70.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.281.391.401.5378.13%71.71%71.43%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Lions (Visitante)

Previsão 31.81%3.14odd justa
EV +3.40%
Vantagem +1.05%
Kelly +1.51%
Crescimento +0.051%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.36%31.91%31.88%37.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.993.003.2538.46%33.43%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Buffalo Bills (Local): 68.19%; Detroit Lions (Visitante): 31.81%. Para Buffalo Bills (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.47. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.53, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.32%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV +4.32%E +2.83%K +8.16%G +0.353%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -17.28%E -6.65%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 00:15
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -1.81%E -1.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-17 23:59
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.81%E -1.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 22:50
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.10%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 00:15
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.18%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.18%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.18%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-17 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-17 18:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-17 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-17 18:59
Caesars🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.97%E -0.972%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 20:40
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.97%E -0.972%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 23:59
Everygame🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.97%E -0.972%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 00:08
theScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-17 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 19:00
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 18:59
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -8.06%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 00:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 23:59
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +3.40%E +1.05%K +1.51%G +0.051%2.2%2026-09-18 00:14
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +1.17%E +0.368%K +0.537%G +0.006%2.9%2026-09-18 00:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 00:05
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 23:09
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:15
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 00:15
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 22:55
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 14:48
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 22:55
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 23:50
BetAnything🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +0.215%E +0.068%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 00:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -0.739%E -0.237%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -1.06%E -0.340%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 00:05
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.972%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 00:14
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.972%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 00:10
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 00:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -4.87%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 00:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 00:05
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 21:44
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 21:34
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 21:35
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -8.69%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-17 22:49
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -8.69%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-17 22:50
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -9.31%E -7.00%K -28.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +1.81%E +0.564%K +0.821%G +0.015%6.4%2026-09-18 00:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.12%EV -10.00%E -7.57%K -31.23%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.88%EV -10.28%E -3.65%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 00:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 67.26%EV -12.72%E -9.94%K -45.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.74%EV -16.33%E -6.21%K -10.02%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-17 18:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-18 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-18 00:10
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-09-18 00:15
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-18 00:05
Polymarket◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-17 20:35
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-17 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-09-18 00:15
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-09-18 00:15
BetOpenly◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%2.6%2026-09-18 00:09