L’École des cotes

Buffalo Bills v Detroit Lions

2026-09-18 00:15 UTC — NFL

Résultat du match

27 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Buffalo Bills (Local)

Prévision 59.21%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.674%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.93%59.14%59.21%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.601.611.6764.52%62.34%62.11%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Lions (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.79%2.45cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.873%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%40.86%40.79%42.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.342.352.4044.44%42.67%42.55%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.13%E -0.674%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-14 08:49
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.31%E -1.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-21 00:54
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.31%E -1.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-15 20:14
Caesars1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.49%E -2.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.54%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 16:56
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.09%E -0.873%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 15:49
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:54
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.54%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 00:55
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.95%E -2.12%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.27%E -3.29%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.09%E -0.873%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 15:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.27%E -3.29%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.09%E -0.873%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 15:50
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.27%E -3.29%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.27%E -3.29%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.27%E -3.29%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 21:05
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.86%E -3.69%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.09%E -0.873%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 11:55
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.86%E -3.69%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.45%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 02:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.91%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:00
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 00:54
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -6.58%E -2.87%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 14:04
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -6.58%E -2.87%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 14:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%7.9%2026-07-21 00:55