La scuola delle quote

Buffalo Bills v Detroit Lions

2026-09-18 00:15 UTC — NFL

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27 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Buffalo Bills (Casa)

Previsione 59.21%1.69quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -0.674%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.93%59.14%59.21%60.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.601.611.6764.52%62.34%62.11%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Detroit Lions (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.79%2.45quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -0.873%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%40.86%40.79%42.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.342.352.4044.44%42.67%42.55%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.13%E -0.674%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-14 08:49
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.31%E -1.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-21 00:54
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.31%E -1.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-15 20:14
Caesars1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.49%E -2.14%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.54%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 16:56
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.09%E -0.873%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 15:49
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:54
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 17:55
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.54%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 00:55
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.68%E -2.91%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.95%E -2.12%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.27%E -3.29%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.09%E -0.873%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 15:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.27%E -3.29%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.09%E -0.873%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 15:50
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.27%E -3.29%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.27%E -3.29%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.27%E -3.29%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 21:05
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.86%E -3.69%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.09%E -0.873%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 11:55
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.86%E -3.69%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.45%E -4.09%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 02:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.91%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:00
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.05%E -4.49%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 00:54
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -6.58%E -2.87%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 14:04
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -6.58%E -2.87%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 14:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%7.9%2026-07-21 00:55