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Buffalo Bills v Detroit Lions
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Buffalo Bills (Local)
Predicción 68.19%1.47momio equitativo
EV +4.32%
Ventaja +2.83%
Kelly +8.16%
Crecimiento +0.353%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.95%68.09%68.12%70.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.281.391.401.5378.13%71.71%71.43%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Detroit Lions (Visitante)
Predicción 31.81%3.14momio equitativo
EV +3.40%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.051%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.36%31.91%31.88%37.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.993.003.2538.46%33.43%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Buffalo Bills (Local): 68.19%; Detroit Lions (Visitante): 31.81%. Para Buffalo Bills (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.47. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.53, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.32%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV +4.32%E +2.83%K +8.16%G +0.353% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -17.28%E -6.65%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -1.81%E -1.26%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-17 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.81%E -1.26%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.10%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.18%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.18%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.18%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-17 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-17 18:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-17 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-17 18:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.97%E -0.972%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-17 20:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.97%E -0.972%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-17 23:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.97%E -0.972%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-18 00:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-17 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -8.06%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.86%E -2.74%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +3.40%E +1.05%K +1.51%G +0.051% | 2.2% | 2026-09-18 00:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV +1.17%E +0.368%K +0.537%G +0.006% | 2.9% | 2026-09-18 00:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-18 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-17 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 14:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 23:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +0.215%E +0.068%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-18 00:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -0.739%E -0.237%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -1.06%E -0.340%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-18 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.972%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-17 16:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 00:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.972%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -4.87%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 00:13 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-17 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 21:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 21:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 21:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.38%E -0.444%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -8.69%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-17 22:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -8.69%E -3.03%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-17 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -9.31%E -7.00%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +1.81%E +0.564%K +0.821%G +0.015% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.12%EV -10.00%E -7.57%K -31.23%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.88%EV -10.28%E -3.65%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-18 00:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.26%EV -12.72%E -9.94%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.74%EV -16.33%E -6.21%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-17 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-09-18 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-09-18 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-18 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-09-17 20:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-09-17 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.2% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 00:09 |