Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Kasatkina v Jelena Ostapenko

2026-10-13 04:00 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Kasatkina (Local)

Prediction 45.31%2.21fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.21%45.36%45.32%46.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.072.082.1550.76%48.23%48.08%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jelena Ostapenko (Visit)

Prediction 54.69%1.83fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.58%54.64%54.68%55.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.731.7861.35%57.93%57.80%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 45.31%; Jelena Ostapenko (Visit): 54.69%. For Daria Kasatkina (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.15, with an expected value of -2.58%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.58%E -1.20%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 16:17
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.03%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.03%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 18:39
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.03%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 18:39
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.94%E -1.86%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -2.65%E -1.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 16:15
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.94%E -1.86%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 18:39
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.94%E -1.86%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 18:44
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.94%E -1.86%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.94%E -1.86%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.12%E -4.84%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 18:39
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.84%E -2.78%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 18:19
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:14
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:14
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 18:38
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 18:19
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 16:15
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.84%E -2.78%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.20%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 18:39
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -6.66%E -3.23%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -6.66%E -3.23%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 19:14
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 17:25
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.84%E -2.78%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 16:15
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 18:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 18:36
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 18:38
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.47%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 16:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.23%EV -8.92%E -4.44%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-11 18:38
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.23%EV -8.92%E -4.44%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-11 18:39
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.38%E -4.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.38%E -4.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 16:15
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.38%E -4.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 16:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -10.28%E -5.19%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -10.31%E -6.29%K -16.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-11 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.88%EV -10.74%E -5.45%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.28%EV -10.74%E -5.45%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.72%EV -10.86%E -6.66%K -17.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-10-11 19:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-10-11 19:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-10-11 19:39
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%3.7%2026-10-11 19:25
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%9.7%2026-10-11 19:29