Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daria Kasatkina v Jelena Ostapenko

2026-10-13 04:00 UTC — WTA Wuhan Open

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daria Kasatkina (Local)

Prévision 45.31%2.21cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.21%45.36%45.32%46.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.972.072.082.1550.76%48.23%48.08%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jelena Ostapenko (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.69%1.83cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -3.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.58%54.64%54.68%55.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.731.731.7861.35%57.93%57.80%56.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Daria Kasatkina (Local) : 45.31% ; Jelena Ostapenko (Visiteur) : 54.69%. Pour Daria Kasatkina (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.21. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.15, pour une espérance de -2.58% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.58%E -1.20%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 16:17
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.03%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.03%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 18:39
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.03%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 18:39
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.94%E -1.86%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -2.65%E -1.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 16:15
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.94%E -1.86%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 18:39
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.94%E -1.86%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 18:44
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.94%E -1.86%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.94%E -1.86%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.12%E -4.84%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 18:39
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.84%E -2.78%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 18:19
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:14
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:14
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 18:38
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.94%E -3.45%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 18:19
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 16:15
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:19
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.75%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.84%E -2.78%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.20%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 18:39
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -6.66%E -3.23%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -6.66%E -3.23%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 19:14
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 17:25
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.84%E -2.78%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 16:15
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 18:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 18:36
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 18:38
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.47%E -4.19%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.30%E -2.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 16:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.23%EV -8.92%E -4.44%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-11 18:38
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.23%EV -8.92%E -4.44%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -9.22%E -5.55%K -13.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-11 18:39
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.38%E -4.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.38%E -4.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 16:15
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.38%E -4.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.39%E -3.12%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 16:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -10.28%E -5.19%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -10.31%E -6.29%K -16.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-11 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.88%EV -10.74%E -5.45%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.28%EV -10.74%E -5.45%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.72%EV -10.86%E -6.66%K -17.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-10-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-10-11 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-10-11 19:55
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%3.7%2026-10-11 19:25
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%10.1%2026-10-11 20:20