Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Bondár v Mia Pohánková

Kickoff: 2026-10-12 05:50 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Bondár (Local)

Prediction 49.40%2.02fair odd
EV +4.73%
Edge +2.23%
Kelly +4.22%
Growth +0.200%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.08%49.11%49.87%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.902.1255.56%52.26%52.63%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mia Pohánková (Visit)

Prediction 50.60%1.98fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.89%50.13%54.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.861.891.9359.88%53.62%52.91%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Bondár (Local): 49.40%; Mia Pohánková (Visit): 50.60%. For Anna Bondár (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.73%E +2.23%K +4.22%G +0.200%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.96%E -6.87%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 05:40
SportsBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -0.706%E -0.351%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-12 04:14
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.20%E -0.600%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 04:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.20%E -0.600%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.92%E -4.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 04:14
Betsson🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.69%E -0.851%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 04:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.69%E -0.851%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 04:24
NordicBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.69%E -0.851%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 04:34
ReBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.69%E -0.851%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 04:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.19%E -1.10%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.91%E -4.35%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:24
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.67%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 04:49
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.67%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-12 04:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -3.67%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.45%E -6.54%K -15.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-12 04:25
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.16%E -2.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.34%E -1.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-12 04:40
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.15%E -2.68%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 05:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -5.15%E -2.68%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -15.50%E -9.28%K -23.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-12 05:39
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 04:39
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 04:39
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 04:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 04:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 04:39
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 04:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 05:04
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 05:23
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 04:15
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 05:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 04:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 05:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.38%E -2.88%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 05:40
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.38%E -2.88%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 05:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 03:59
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 03:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 03:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 03:59
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 03:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.59%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 04:19
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.59%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 04:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -11.96%E -6.87%K -16.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-12 04:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.62%E -4.08%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 04:10
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.08%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.88%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 04:19
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.61%E -4.65%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-12 04:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.61%E -4.65%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-12 04:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.17%EV -9.10%E -4.95%K -10.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.83%EV -13.47%E -7.88%K -18.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-12 05:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -11.08%E -6.16%K -13.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-12 04:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-10-12 05:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-10-12 05:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-10-12 05:30
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-10-12 05:30
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%2.8%2026-10-12 05:35