Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anna Bondár v Mia Pohánková

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-12 05:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anna Bondár (Local)

Prévision 49.40%2.02cote équitable
EV +4.73%
Avantage +2.23%
Kelly +4.22%
Croissance +0.200%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.08%49.11%49.87%50.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.911.902.1255.56%52.26%52.63%47.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Mia Pohánková (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.60%1.98cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -2.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.47%50.89%50.13%54.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.861.891.9359.88%53.62%52.91%51.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Anna Bondár (Local) : 49.40% ; Mia Pohánková (Visiteur) : 50.60%. Pour Anna Bondár (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.02. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.12, soit une espérance positive de +4.73%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.73%E +2.23%K +4.22%G +0.200%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.96%E -6.87%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 05:40
SportsBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -0.706%E -0.351%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-12 04:14
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.20%E -0.600%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-12 04:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.20%E -0.600%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.92%E -4.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 04:14
Betsson🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.69%E -0.851%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 04:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.69%E -0.851%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 04:24
NordicBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.69%E -0.851%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 04:34
ReBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.69%E -0.851%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 04:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.19%E -1.10%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.91%E -4.35%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:24
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.67%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 04:49
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.67%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-12 04:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -3.67%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.45%E -6.54%K -15.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-12 04:25
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.16%E -2.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.34%E -1.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-12 04:40
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.15%E -2.68%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 05:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -5.15%E -2.68%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -15.50%E -9.28%K -23.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-12 05:39
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 04:39
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 04:39
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 04:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 04:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 04:39
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 04:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 05:04
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 05:23
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 04:15
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 05:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 04:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 05:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.38%E -2.88%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 05:40
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.38%E -2.88%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 05:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 03:59
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 03:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 03:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 03:59
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 04:00
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-12 03:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.59%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 04:19
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.59%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 04:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -11.96%E -6.87%K -16.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-12 04:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.62%E -4.08%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 04:10
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.08%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.88%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-12 04:19
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.61%E -4.65%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-12 04:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.61%E -4.65%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-12 04:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.17%EV -9.10%E -4.95%K -10.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.83%EV -13.47%E -7.88%K -18.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-12 05:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -11.08%E -6.16%K -13.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-12 04:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-10-12 05:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-10-12 05:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-10-12 05:30
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-10-12 05:30
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%2.8%2026-10-12 05:35