Idioma:Español
Anna Bondár v Mia Pohánková
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anna Bondár (Local)
Predicción 49.40%2.02momio equitativo
EV +4.73%
Ventaja +2.23%
Kelly +4.22%
Crecimiento +0.200%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.08%49.11%49.87%50.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.911.902.1255.56%52.26%52.63%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mia Pohánková (Visitante)
Predicción 50.60%1.98momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.47%50.89%50.13%54.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.861.891.9359.88%53.62%52.91%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Anna Bondár (Local): 49.40%; Mia Pohánková (Visitante): 50.60%. Para Anna Bondár (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.02. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.12, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.73%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.73%E +2.23%K +4.22%G +0.200% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.96%E -6.87%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 05:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -0.706%E -0.351%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-12 04:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.20%E -0.600%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-12 04:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.20%E -0.600%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.92%E -4.96%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 04:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.69%E -0.851%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 04:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.69%E -0.851%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 04:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.69%E -0.851%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 04:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -1.69%E -0.851%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 04:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.19%E -1.10%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.91%E -4.35%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 04:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.67%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 04:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.67%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-12 04:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -3.67%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.45%E -6.54%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-12 04:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.16%E -2.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.34%E -1.21%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-12 04:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.15%E -2.68%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 05:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -5.15%E -2.68%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -15.50%E -9.28%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 05:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 04:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 04:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 04:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 04:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 04:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 04:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 05:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 05:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.65%E -2.96%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-12 04:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 05:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 04:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 05:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.38%E -2.88%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-12 05:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.14%E -3.23%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.38%E -2.88%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-12 05:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 03:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 03:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 03:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 04:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 04:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 04:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 04:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 04:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 04:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 03:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 04:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 03:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.59%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-12 04:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.59%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-12 04:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -7.13%E -3.79%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -11.96%E -6.87%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-12 04:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.62%E -4.08%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.35%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 04:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.08%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.88%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-12 04:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.61%E -4.65%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-12 04:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.61%E -4.65%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.45%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-12 04:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.17%EV -9.10%E -4.95%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.83%EV -13.47%E -7.88%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-12 05:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -11.08%E -6.16%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.40%E -4.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-12 04:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.5% | 2026-10-12 05:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.5% | 2026-10-12 05:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.8% | 2026-10-12 05:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 2.1% | 2026-10-12 05:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87% | 2.8% | 2026-10-12 05:35 |