Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Anna Blinkova

Kickoff: 2026-06-30 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)

Prediction 63.80%1.57fair odd
EV +10.38%
Edge +6.00%
Kelly +14.22%
Growth +1.48%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%62.96%64.40%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.501.441.7373.53%66.56%69.44%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anna Blinkova (Visit)

Prediction 36.20%2.76fair odd
EV +8.59%
Edge +2.86%
Kelly +4.29%
Growth +0.369%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.51%37.04%35.60%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.572.673.0047.62%38.88%37.45%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local): 63.80%; Anna Blinkova (Visit): 36.20%. For Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +10.38%E +6.00%K +14.22%G +1.48%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -23.99%E -11.42%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:09
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV +9.74%E +5.67%K +13.53%G +1.32%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -20.73%E -9.47%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +9.74%E +5.67%K +13.53%G +1.32%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -23.99%E -11.42%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:19
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +9.74%E +5.67%K +13.53%G +1.32%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -23.99%E -11.42%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:19
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +8.47%E +4.98%K +12.10%G +1.02%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -23.99%E -11.42%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +7.83%E +4.63%K +11.35%G +0.889%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -18.92%E -8.45%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:24
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +7.83%E +4.63%K +11.35%G +0.889%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:08
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +7.83%E +4.63%K +11.35%G +0.889%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -22.18%E -10.32%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:10
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +7.83%E +4.63%K +11.35%G +0.889%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -22.18%E -10.32%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:10
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV +7.19%E +4.28%K +10.58%G +0.761%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -18.56%E -8.25%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 14:10
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV +7.19%E +4.28%K +10.58%G +0.761%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -19.65%E -8.85%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:18
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +7.19%E +4.28%K +10.58%G +0.761%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -22.18%E -10.32%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 14:19
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.55%E +3.92%K +9.78%G +0.641%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.55%E +3.92%K +9.78%G +0.641%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +5.92%E +3.56%K +8.96%G +0.530%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:09
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +5.28%E +3.20%K +8.12%G +0.429%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:23
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV +4.64%E +2.83%K +7.25%G +0.336%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -17.84%E -7.86%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:09
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +4.00%E +2.46%K +6.35%G +0.254%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -17.47%E -7.66%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV +0.811%E +0.514%K +1.40%G +0.011%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -12.41%E -5.13%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:28
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV +0.173%E +0.110%K +0.304%G +0.001%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.42%EV -19.65%E -8.85%K -16.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 14:27
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.10%E -0.711%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.32%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:29
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.38%E -1.55%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.13%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 14:28
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.38%E -1.55%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.13%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 14:28
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.65%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.35%E +0.481%K +0.748%G +0.010%4.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.463%E -0.168%K -0.265%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:29
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%4.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.463%E -0.168%K -0.265%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:30
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:30
TAB🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:29
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.17%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.17%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.17%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.76%E -6.13%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +4.97%E +1.71%K +2.61%G +0.130%4.9%2026-06-30 14:30
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV +2.79%E +0.984%K +1.52%G +0.042%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.463%E -0.168%K -0.265%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 14:29
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -3.36%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 14:30
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -3.36%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.67%E -7.62%K -26.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%6.2%2026-06-30 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.67%E -7.62%K -26.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%6.5%2026-06-30 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.67%E -7.62%K -26.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%6.5%2026-06-30 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -11.31%E -8.14%K -29.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-30 14:30
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +8.59%E +2.86%K +4.29%G +0.369%5.8%2026-06-30 14:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%7.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%7.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%7.6%2026-06-30 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +1.35%E +0.481%K +0.748%G +0.010%8.2%2026-06-30 14:30
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -13.23%E -9.72%K -36.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%8.3%2026-06-30 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -13.23%E -9.72%K -36.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%8.3%2026-06-30 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -13.23%E -9.72%K -36.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV +1.35%E +0.481%K +0.748%G +0.010%9.2%2026-06-30 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -13.23%E -9.72%K -36.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV +1.35%E +0.481%K +0.748%G +0.010%9.2%2026-06-30 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-06-30 14:30
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-06-30 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-30 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-06-30 14:30
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-06-30 14:30
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%4.9%2026-06-30 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.47%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.53%9.2%2026-06-30 14:30