L’École des cotes

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Anna Blinkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)

Prévision 63.80%1.57cote équitable
EV +10.38%
Avantage +6.00%
Kelly +14.22%
Croissance +1.48%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%62.96%64.40%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.501.441.7373.53%66.56%69.44%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Blinkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.20%2.76cote équitable
EV +8.59%
Avantage +2.86%
Kelly +4.29%
Croissance +0.369%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.51%37.04%35.60%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.572.673.0047.62%38.88%37.45%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +10.38%E +6.00%K +14.22%G +1.48%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -23.99%E -11.42%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:09
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV +9.74%E +5.67%K +13.53%G +1.32%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -20.73%E -9.47%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +9.74%E +5.67%K +13.53%G +1.32%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -23.99%E -11.42%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:19
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +9.74%E +5.67%K +13.53%G +1.32%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -23.99%E -11.42%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:19
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +8.47%E +4.98%K +12.10%G +1.02%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -23.99%E -11.42%K -21.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 14:09
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +7.83%E +4.63%K +11.35%G +0.889%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -18.92%E -8.45%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:24
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +7.83%E +4.63%K +11.35%G +0.889%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:08
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +7.83%E +4.63%K +11.35%G +0.889%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -22.18%E -10.32%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:10
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +7.83%E +4.63%K +11.35%G +0.889%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -22.18%E -10.32%K -19.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:10
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV +7.19%E +4.28%K +10.58%G +0.761%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -18.56%E -8.25%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 14:10
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV +7.19%E +4.28%K +10.58%G +0.761%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -19.65%E -8.85%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:18
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +7.19%E +4.28%K +10.58%G +0.761%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -22.18%E -10.32%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 14:19
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.55%E +3.92%K +9.78%G +0.641%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:19
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.55%E +3.92%K +9.78%G +0.641%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:23
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +5.92%E +3.56%K +8.96%G +0.530%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:09
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +5.28%E +3.20%K +8.12%G +0.429%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 14:23
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV +4.64%E +2.83%K +7.25%G +0.336%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -17.84%E -7.86%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:09
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +4.00%E +2.46%K +6.35%G +0.254%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -17.47%E -7.66%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 14:10
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV +0.811%E +0.514%K +1.40%G +0.011%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -12.41%E -5.13%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 14:28
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV +0.173%E +0.110%K +0.304%G +0.001%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.42%EV -19.65%E -8.85%K -16.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 14:27
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.10%E -0.711%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.32%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:29
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.38%E -1.55%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.13%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 14:28
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.38%E -1.55%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.13%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 14:28
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.65%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 14:30
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.35%E +0.481%K +0.748%G +0.010%4.7%2026-06-30 14:29
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.463%E -0.168%K -0.265%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:29
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%4.2%2026-06-30 14:29
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.463%E -0.168%K -0.265%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:30
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:30
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:29
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.17%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.17%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.17%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 14:30
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.76%E -6.13%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 14:30
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +4.97%E +1.71%K +2.61%G +0.130%4.9%2026-06-30 14:30
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV +2.79%E +0.984%K +1.52%G +0.042%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.463%E -0.168%K -0.265%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 14:29
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -3.36%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 14:30
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -3.36%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 14:29
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%5.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.67%E -7.62%K -26.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%6.2%2026-06-30 14:30
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.67%E -7.62%K -26.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%6.5%2026-06-30 14:30
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.67%E -7.62%K -26.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%6.5%2026-06-30 14:30
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -11.31%E -8.14%K -29.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-30 14:30
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +8.59%E +2.86%K +4.29%G +0.369%5.8%2026-06-30 14:29
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%7.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%7.6%2026-06-30 14:30
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054%7.6%2026-06-30 14:30
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +1.35%E +0.481%K +0.748%G +0.010%8.2%2026-06-30 14:30
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 14:29
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -13.23%E -9.72%K -36.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%8.3%2026-06-30 14:30
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -13.23%E -9.72%K -36.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096%8.3%2026-06-30 14:30
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -13.23%E -9.72%K -36.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV +1.35%E +0.481%K +0.748%G +0.010%9.2%2026-06-30 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -13.23%E -9.72%K -36.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV +1.35%E +0.481%K +0.748%G +0.010%9.2%2026-06-30 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-06-30 14:30
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-06-30 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-30 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-06-30 14:30
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-06-30 14:30
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%4.9%2026-06-30 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.47%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.53%9.2%2026-06-30 14:30