La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Yuliia Starodubtseva v Anna Blinkova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)
Predicción 63.80%1.57momio equitativo
EV +10.38%
Ventaja +6.00%
Kelly +14.22%
Crecimiento +1.48%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%62.96%64.40%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.501.441.7373.53%66.56%69.44%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anna Blinkova (Visitante)
Predicción 36.20%2.76momio equitativo
EV +8.59%
Ventaja +2.86%
Kelly +4.29%
Crecimiento +0.369%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.51%37.04%35.60%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.572.673.0047.62%38.88%37.45%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +10.38%E +6.00%K +14.22%G +1.48% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -23.99%E -11.42%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV +9.74%E +5.67%K +13.53%G +1.32% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -20.73%E -9.47%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +9.74%E +5.67%K +13.53%G +1.32% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -23.99%E -11.42%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:19 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +9.74%E +5.67%K +13.53%G +1.32% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -23.99%E -11.42%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:19 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +8.47%E +4.98%K +12.10%G +1.02% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -23.99%E -11.42%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +7.83%E +4.63%K +11.35%G +0.889% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -18.92%E -8.45%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 14:24 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +7.83%E +4.63%K +11.35%G +0.889% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 14:08 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +7.83%E +4.63%K +11.35%G +0.889% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -22.18%E -10.32%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +7.83%E +4.63%K +11.35%G +0.889% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -22.18%E -10.32%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| ReBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV +7.19%E +4.28%K +10.58%G +0.761% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -18.56%E -8.25%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV +7.19%E +4.28%K +10.58%G +0.761% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -19.65%E -8.85%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 14:18 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV +7.19%E +4.28%K +10.58%G +0.761% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -22.18%E -10.32%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 14:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.55%E +3.92%K +9.78%G +0.641% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:19 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +6.55%E +3.92%K +9.78%G +0.641% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:23 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV +5.92%E +3.56%K +8.96%G +0.530% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +5.28%E +3.20%K +8.12%G +0.429% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -20.37%E -9.26%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 14:23 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV +4.64%E +2.83%K +7.25%G +0.336% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -17.84%E -7.86%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +4.00%E +2.46%K +6.35%G +0.254% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -17.47%E -7.66%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV +0.811%E +0.514%K +1.40%G +0.011% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -12.41%E -5.13%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 14:28 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV +0.173%E +0.110%K +0.304%G +0.001% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.42%EV -19.65%E -8.85%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-30 14:27 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.10%E -0.711%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.32%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.38%E -1.55%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.13%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 14:28 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.38%E -1.55%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.13%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 14:28 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.65%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.35%E +0.481%K +0.748%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 14:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.463%E -0.168%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 14:29 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.463%E -0.168%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.17%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.17%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.17%E -1.97%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.76%E -6.13%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +4.97%E +1.71%K +2.61%G +0.130% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV +2.79%E +0.984%K +1.52%G +0.042% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.463%E -0.168%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 14:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -3.36%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -3.36%E -1.26%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-30 14:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.67%E -7.62%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.67%E -7.62%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.67%E -7.62%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -11.31%E -8.14%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +8.59%E +2.86%K +4.29%G +0.369% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV +3.16%E +1.11%K +1.71%G +0.054% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +1.35%E +0.481%K +0.748%G +0.010% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -11.95%E -8.66%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -2.27%E -0.842%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 14:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -13.23%E -9.72%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -13.23%E -9.72%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +4.24%E +1.47%K +2.26%G +0.096% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -13.23%E -9.72%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV +1.35%E +0.481%K +0.748%G +0.010% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -13.23%E -9.72%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV +1.35%E +0.481%K +0.748%G +0.010% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.8% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Novig | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.47% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.53% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 14:30 |