Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.65
assuming max odds 1.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Veronika Erjavec (Local): 37.87%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visit): 62.13%. For Leolia Jeanjean (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.647%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -8.73%E -3.62%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV +0.647%E +0.399%K +1.04%G +0.007% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV +0.647%E +0.399%K +1.04%G +0.007% | 3.4% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.596%E -0.372%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.84%E -1.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -1.84%E -1.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.86%E -4.14%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.56%E -1.81%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.70%E -2.39%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.70%E -2.39%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.70%E -2.39%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:07 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.94%E -1.97%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.32%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 14:07 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.32%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.70%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 14:08 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.53%E -0.589%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.53%E -0.589%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.29%E -0.887%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 14:07 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -3.80%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -3.80%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.362%E +0.137%K +0.219%G +0.001% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.53%E -0.589%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.53%E -0.589%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -9.29%E -6.37%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -9.29%E -6.37%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.91%E -6.84%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.91%E -6.84%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 1.3% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 14:10 |