L’École des cotes

Veronika Erjavec v Leolia Jeanjean

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Veronika Erjavec (Local)

Prévision 37.87%2.64cote équitable
EV +0.362%
Avantage +0.137%
Kelly +0.219%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.84%37.94%38.06%40.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.512.502.6542.55%39.82%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leolia Jeanjean (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.13%1.61cote équitable
EV +0.647%
Avantage +0.399%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.49%62.06%61.94%64.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.521.521.6269.93%65.94%65.79%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -8.73%E -3.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV +0.647%E +0.399%K +1.04%G +0.007%3.2%2026-06-30 14:10
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV +0.647%E +0.399%K +1.04%G +0.007%3.4%2026-06-30 14:10
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.596%E -0.372%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:09
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.84%E -1.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:09
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -1.84%E -1.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:09
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 14:09
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.86%E -4.14%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.56%E -1.81%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:10
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:05
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:10
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:10
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:09
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.70%E -2.39%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.70%E -2.39%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:07
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.70%E -2.39%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:07
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.94%E -1.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.32%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:07
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.32%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:09
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:09
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:08
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:09
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.70%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 14:10
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:08
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:09
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:09
MyBookie.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:10
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 14:09
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.53%E -0.589%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 14:09
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.53%E -0.589%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 14:10
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.29%E -0.887%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 14:09
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:09
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:09
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:09
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 14:09
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 14:10
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:07
NordicBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -3.80%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:10
Betsson2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -3.80%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:09
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.362%E +0.137%K +0.219%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:10
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:10
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:09
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:10
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:10
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:09
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 14:10
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.53%E -0.589%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:09
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.53%E -0.589%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:10
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -9.29%E -6.37%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 14:10
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -9.29%E -6.37%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 14:09
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.91%E -6.84%K -22.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 14:09
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.91%E -6.84%K -22.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 14:09
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 14:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-30 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-30 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-30 14:09
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-30 14:10
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-30 14:10
ProphetX2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%1.3%2026-06-30 14:10
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.1%2026-06-30 14:10