La escuela de los momios

Veronika Erjavec v Leolia Jeanjean

Inicio: 2026-06-30 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Veronika Erjavec (Local)

Predicción 37.87%2.64momio equitativo
EV +0.362%
Ventaja +0.137%
Kelly +0.219%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.84%37.94%38.06%40.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.512.502.6542.55%39.82%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leolia Jeanjean (Visitante)

Predicción 62.13%1.61momio equitativo
EV +0.647%
Ventaja +0.399%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.49%62.06%61.94%64.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.521.521.6269.93%65.94%65.79%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -8.73%E -3.62%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV +0.647%E +0.399%K +1.04%G +0.007%3.2%2026-06-30 14:10
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV +0.647%E +0.399%K +1.04%G +0.007%3.4%2026-06-30 14:10
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.596%E -0.372%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:09
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -1.84%E -1.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:09
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -1.84%E -1.16%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:09
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-30 14:09
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.86%E -4.14%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.46%E -1.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.56%E -1.81%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 14:10
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:05
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:10
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:10
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 14:09
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.00%E -4.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.08%E -1.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.70%E -2.39%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.70%E -2.39%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:07
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.70%E -2.39%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:07
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.94%E -1.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.32%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 14:07
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.32%E -2.81%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 14:09
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:09
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:08
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 14:09
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.70%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 14:10
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:08
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:09
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:09
MyBookie.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.21%E -2.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 14:10
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 14:09
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.53%E -0.589%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 14:09
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.53%E -0.589%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 14:10
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.29%E -0.887%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 14:09
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.57%E -3.66%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 14:09
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:09
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:09
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.32%E -2.13%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 14:09
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.81%E -4.54%K -13.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 14:10
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 14:07
NordicBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -3.80%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:10
Betsson2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -3.80%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -7.43%E -4.99%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:09
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.362%E +0.137%K +0.219%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:10
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:10
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:09
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:10
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:10
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -0.396%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 14:09
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.11%E -3.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 14:10
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.53%E -0.589%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:09
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.53%E -0.589%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 14:10
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -9.29%E -6.37%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 14:10
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -9.29%E -6.37%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 14:09
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.91%E -6.84%K -22.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 14:09
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.91%E -6.84%K -22.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 14:09
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -3.43%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -11.16%E -7.80%K -25.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 14:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-30 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-30 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-30 14:09
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-30 14:10
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-06-30 14:10
ProphetX2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%1.3%2026-06-30 14:10
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.1%2026-06-30 14:10