Language:English
Talia Gibson v Marie Bouzkova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Talia Gibson (Local)
Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV +5.15%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.98%
Growth +0.102%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%28.96%29.35%31.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.293.253.6034.48%30.41%30.77%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marie Bouzkova (Visit)
Prediction 70.79%1.41fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -6.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.08%71.04%70.65%73.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.331.3880.00%75.74%75.47%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talia Gibson (Local): 29.21%; Marie Bouzkova (Visit): 70.79%. For Talia Gibson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +5.15%E +1.43%K +1.98%G +0.102% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.39%E -7.33%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.39%E -7.33%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.773%E +0.224%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +0.773%E +0.224%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +0.773%E +0.224%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -10.80%E -8.57%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.688%E -0.202%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -0.688%E -0.202%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -11.51%E -9.21%K -46.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -3.32%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.26%E -5.55%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -4.19%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -4.48%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -4.48%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 10:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.02%E -2.20%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.82%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -7.11%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 10:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.02%E -2.20%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.26%E -5.55%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86% | 2.0% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86% | 3.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |