La escuela de los momios

Talia Gibson v Marie Bouzkova

Inicio: 2026-06-30 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Talia Gibson (Local)

Predicción 29.21%3.42momio equitativo
EV +5.15%
Ventaja +1.43%
Kelly +1.98%
Crecimiento +0.102%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.38%28.96%29.35%31.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.293.253.6034.48%30.41%30.77%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Marie Bouzkova (Visitante)

Predicción 70.79%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -6.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.08%71.04%70.65%73.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.331.3880.00%75.74%75.47%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +5.15%E +1.43%K +1.98%G +0.102%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:10
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:10
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:10
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.39%E -7.33%K -33.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.39%E -7.33%K -33.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:09
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:10
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Bally Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.773%E +0.224%K +0.315%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 10:10
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +0.773%E +0.224%K +0.315%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:10
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +0.773%E +0.224%K +0.315%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -10.80%E -8.57%K -41.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.688%E -0.202%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -0.688%E -0.202%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -11.51%E -9.21%K -46.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -3.32%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 10:10
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 10:04
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.26%E -5.55%K -23.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 10:09
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 10:09
SportsBet3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -4.19%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 10:08
DraftKings3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -4.48%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:10
GTbets3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -4.48%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:04
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:08
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:01
FanDuel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:09
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 10:09
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 10:09
ReBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.02%E -2.20%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 09:58
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:08
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:08
Dabble (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:08
MyBookie.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:08
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 10:09
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.82%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -7.11%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Fanatics3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:08
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:04
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:05
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:08
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:08
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:04
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:04
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.02%E -2.20%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:06
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.26%E -5.55%K -23.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 10:08
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%0.2%2026-06-30 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-06-30 10:09
ProphetX3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%2.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86%3.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%6.0%2026-06-30 10:09