L’École des cotes

Talia Gibson v Marie Bouzkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Talia Gibson (Local)

Prévision 29.21%3.42cote équitable
EV +5.15%
Avantage +1.43%
Kelly +1.98%
Croissance +0.102%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.38%28.96%29.35%31.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.293.253.6034.48%30.41%30.77%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Marie Bouzkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.79%1.41cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -6.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.08%71.04%70.65%73.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.331.3880.00%75.74%75.47%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +5.15%E +1.43%K +1.98%G +0.102%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:10
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:10
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +3.69%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.054%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:09
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:10
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.39%E -7.33%K -33.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -9.39%E -7.33%K -33.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 10:09
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:09
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:10
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Bally Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +2.23%E +0.638%K +0.893%G +0.020%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.773%E +0.224%K +0.315%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 10:10
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +0.773%E +0.224%K +0.315%G +0.002%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:10
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV +0.773%E +0.224%K +0.315%G +0.002%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -10.80%E -8.57%K -41.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.688%E -0.202%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -0.688%E -0.202%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -11.51%E -9.21%K -46.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -3.32%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 10:10
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 10:04
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.26%E -5.55%K -23.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 10:09
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 10:09
SportsBet3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -4.19%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 10:08
DraftKings3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -4.48%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:10
GTbets3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -4.48%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:04
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:08
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:01
FanDuel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:09
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:00
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 10:09
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 10:09
ReBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.02%E -2.20%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 09:58
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:08
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:08
Dabble (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:08
MyBookie.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:08
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 10:09
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -6.82%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -7.11%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 09:59
Fanatics3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:08
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:04
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:05
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:08
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:08
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%EV -8.68%E -6.73%K -29.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:04
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:04
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.02%E -2.20%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:06
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.26%E -5.55%K -23.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 10:08
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -10.10%E -7.95%K -37.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%0.2%2026-06-30 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-06-30 10:09
ProphetX3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%2.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86%3.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%6.0%2026-06-30 10:09