Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.56
assuming max odds 2.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Solana Sierra (Local): 62.94%; Anna Bondár (Visit): 37.06%. For Anna Bondár (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.81%E -1.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.77%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -1.81%E -1.16%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%EV -5.14%E -2.01%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -3.07%E -1.99%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -6.62%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.62%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 17:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 17:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -1.80%E -0.680%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 15:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -1.80%E -0.680%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.62%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 20:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 21:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.80%E -0.680%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-29 17:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-28 14:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -5.14%E -2.01%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-29 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 12:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-29 17:07 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-27 12:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-29 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -6.62%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-29 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.95%E -4.10%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.95%E -4.10%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.95%E -4.10%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-29 06:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.07%E -4.61%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.07%E -4.61%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 0.0% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 0.0% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 0.0% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.1% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 1.8% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-06-29 17:11 |