L’École des cotes

Solana Sierra v Anna Bondár

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 17:17 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Solana Sierra (Local)

Prévision 62.94%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -3.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.10%62.89%62.98%64.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.501.501.5668.97%66.46%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Bondár (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.06%2.70cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.680%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.63%37.11%37.02%39.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.67%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.81%E -1.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.77%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -1.81%E -1.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%EV -5.14%E -2.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 17:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:10
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:10
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -3.07%E -1.99%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -6.62%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 17:11
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 15:30
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 17:11
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.62%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:09
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:11
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:08
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -1.80%E -0.680%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 15:31
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -1.80%E -0.680%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 15:30
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.62%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:10
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 20:49
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 21:09
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:19
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.80%E -0.680%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 17:01
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 14:39
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 17:00
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:30
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:30
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:20
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -5.14%E -2.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:10
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:07
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 12:29
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:11
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:10
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 15:30
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 17:11
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 17:10
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 17:10
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 17:10
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -6.62%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 17:09
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.95%E -4.10%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.95%E -4.10%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 17:11
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.95%E -4.10%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 16:39
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 06:40
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 17:11
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.07%E -4.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 17:11
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.07%E -4.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-06-29 17:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-06-29 17:10
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-06-29 17:11
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-06-29 17:11
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-06-29 17:11