La escuela de los momios

Solana Sierra v Anna Bondár

Inicio: 2026-06-29 17:17 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Solana Sierra (Local)

Predicción 62.94%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -3.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.10%62.89%62.98%64.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.501.501.5668.97%66.46%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anna Bondár (Visitante)

Predicción 37.06%2.70momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.680%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.63%37.11%37.02%39.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.67%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.81%E -1.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.77%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -1.81%E -1.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%EV -5.14%E -2.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-29 17:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:10
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:10
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -3.07%E -1.99%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -6.62%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 17:11
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 15:30
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-29 17:11
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.62%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:09
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 17:11
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:08
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -1.80%E -0.680%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 15:31
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -1.80%E -0.680%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-29 15:30
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.62%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-29 17:10
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 20:49
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.32%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 21:09
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.95%E -3.28%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 09:19
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.80%E -0.680%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 17:01
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 14:39
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 17:00
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-29 15:30
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:30
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 15:20
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 16:20
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -5.14%E -2.01%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 12:10
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:07
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 12:29
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:11
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:10
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.58%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-29 15:30
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 17:11
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 17:10
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 17:10
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 17:10
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-29 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -6.62%E -2.63%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-29 17:09
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.95%E -4.10%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.95%E -4.10%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 17:11
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.95%E -4.10%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 16:39
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.66%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-29 06:40
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 17:11
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.07%E -4.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 17:11
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.07%E -4.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-06-29 17:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-06-29 17:10
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-06-29 17:11
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.8%2026-06-29 17:11
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-06-29 17:11