Language:English
Petra Marcinko v Sofia Kenin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Petra Marcinko (Local)
Prediction 55.23%1.81fair odd
EV +3.28%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +3.77%
Growth +0.124%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%54.78%55.43%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.721.8761.73%58.14%58.14%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sofia Kenin (Visit)
Prediction 44.77%2.23fair odd
EV +0.734%
Edge +0.326%
Kelly +0.587%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%45.22%44.57%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.082.102.2553.76%48.15%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Petra Marcinko (Local): 55.23%; Sofia Kenin (Visit): 44.77%. For Petra Marcinko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +3.28%E +1.75%K +3.77%G +0.124% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -16.28%E -8.71%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +1.07%E +0.584%K +1.29%G +0.014% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +1.07%E +0.584%K +1.29%G +0.014% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -14.49%E -7.59%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV +1.07%E +0.584%K +1.29%G +0.014% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -16.28%E -8.71%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.587%E -0.326%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.587%E -0.326%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.587%E -0.326%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.14%E -0.637%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.14%E -0.637%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -1.69%E -0.951%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -11.80%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -1.69%E -0.951%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -11.80%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -5.53%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -12.25%E -6.25%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.88%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 10:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%EV -2.85%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 10:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.33%EV -16.73%E -8.99%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:02 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-30 10:06 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.50%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 09:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -0.161%E -0.072%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 09:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.609%E -0.274%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 10:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -0.609%E -0.274%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 10:02 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -1.50%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 10:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-30 10:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.734%E +0.326%K +0.587%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 10:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -9.42%E -5.75%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -6.88%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -9.98%E -6.12%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -6.88%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.734%E +0.326%K +0.587%G +0.004% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.734%E +0.326%K +0.587%G +0.004% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.5% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 10:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21% | 7.4% | 2026-06-30 10:09 |