A Escola das Odds

Petra Marcinko v Sofia Kenin

Início: 2026-06-30 11:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Petra Marcinko (Local)

Previsão 55.23%1.81odd justa
EV +3.28%
Vantagem +1.75%
Kelly +3.77%
Crescimento +0.124%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%54.78%55.43%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.721.721.8761.73%58.14%58.14%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sofia Kenin (Visitante)

Previsão 44.77%2.23odd justa
EV +0.734%
Vantagem +0.326%
Kelly +0.587%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.86%45.22%44.57%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.862.082.102.2553.76%48.15%47.62%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +3.28%E +1.75%K +3.77%G +0.124%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -16.28%E -8.71%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +1.07%E +0.584%K +1.29%G +0.014%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:08
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +1.07%E +0.584%K +1.29%G +0.014%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -14.49%E -7.59%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:09
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV +1.07%E +0.584%K +1.29%G +0.014%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -16.28%E -8.71%K -18.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.587%E -0.326%K -0.734%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:09
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.587%E -0.326%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.587%E -0.326%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.14%E -0.637%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:09
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.14%E -0.637%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -1.69%E -0.951%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -11.80%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -1.69%E -0.951%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -11.80%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -5.53%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -12.25%E -6.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 10:09
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.88%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:05
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:05
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%EV -2.85%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 10:10
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:09
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:04
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.33%EV -16.73%E -8.99%K -19.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 10:09
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:09
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 10:08
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:02
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:01
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:08
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:06
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.50%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:08
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 09:59
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -0.161%E -0.072%K -0.131%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 09:58
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.609%E -0.274%K -0.499%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:01
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -0.609%E -0.274%K -0.499%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:02
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 10:09
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -1.50%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:06
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 10:08
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.734%E +0.326%K +0.587%G +0.004%5.1%2026-06-30 10:10
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 10:09
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -9.42%E -5.75%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -6.88%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -9.98%E -6.12%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -6.88%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.734%E +0.326%K +0.587%G +0.004%6.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.734%E +0.326%K +0.587%G +0.004%6.2%2026-06-30 10:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-06-30 10:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-06-30 10:09
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%6.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%7.4%2026-06-30 10:09