L’École des cotes

Petra Marcinko v Sofia Kenin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Petra Marcinko (Local)

Prévision 55.23%1.81cote équitable
EV +3.28%
Avantage +1.75%
Kelly +3.77%
Croissance +0.124%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%54.78%55.43%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.721.721.8761.73%58.14%58.14%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sofia Kenin (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.77%2.23cote équitable
EV +0.734%
Avantage +0.326%
Kelly +0.587%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.86%45.22%44.57%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.862.082.102.2553.76%48.15%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +3.28%E +1.75%K +3.77%G +0.124%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -16.28%E -8.71%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +1.07%E +0.584%K +1.29%G +0.014%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:08
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +1.07%E +0.584%K +1.29%G +0.014%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -14.49%E -7.59%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 10:09
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV +1.07%E +0.584%K +1.29%G +0.014%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -16.28%E -8.71%K -18.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.587%E -0.326%K -0.734%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 10:09
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.587%E -0.326%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.587%E -0.326%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.14%E -0.637%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:09
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.14%E -0.637%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -1.69%E -0.951%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -11.80%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -1.69%E -0.951%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -11.80%E -5.99%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 10:09
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -5.53%E -2.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.67%E -4.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -12.25%E -6.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 10:09
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.88%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:05
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 10:05
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:09
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%EV -2.85%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-30 10:10
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:09
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 10:04
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.33%EV -16.73%E -8.99%K -19.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 10:09
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:09
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:09
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 10:08
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 10:09
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:02
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:01
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 10:08
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 10:06
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.50%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 10:08
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:59
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 10:10
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 09:59
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -0.161%E -0.072%K -0.131%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 09:58
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -0.609%E -0.274%K -0.499%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 10:00
Betr (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:01
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -0.609%E -0.274%K -0.499%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 10:00
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.40%E -1.10%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 10:02
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 10:09
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 10:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 10:09
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -1.50%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 10:06
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.32%E -5.01%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 10:08
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.734%E +0.326%K +0.587%G +0.004%5.1%2026-06-30 10:10
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 10:00
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 10:09
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -9.42%E -5.75%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -6.88%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-30 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -9.98%E -6.12%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -6.88%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 10:10
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.734%E +0.326%K +0.587%G +0.004%6.2%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.53%E -6.50%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.734%E +0.326%K +0.587%G +0.004%6.2%2026-06-30 10:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-06-30 10:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-06-30 10:09
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-06-30 10:10
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%6.0%2026-06-30 10:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%7.4%2026-06-30 10:09