Language:English
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano v Simona Waltert
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Local)
Prediction 63.46%1.58fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%63.35%63.41%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.501.5669.44%67.09%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Simona Waltert (Visit)
Prediction 36.54%2.74fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.774%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%36.65%36.59%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.572.562.6842.55%38.95%39.06%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Local): 63.46%; Simona Waltert (Visit): 36.54%. For Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -1.00%E -0.642%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.13%E -6.01%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -6.46%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:27 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.07%E -0.774%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.63%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 18:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.46%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.46%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.19%E -2.83%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-30 18:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -9.38%E -3.78%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.27%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -9.38%E -3.78%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 0.3% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |