La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano v Simona Waltert
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Local)
Predicción 63.46%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.642%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.10%63.35%63.41%64.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.491.501.5669.44%67.09%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Simona Waltert (Visitante)
Predicción 36.54%2.74momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.774%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.47%36.65%36.59%39.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.572.562.6842.55%38.95%39.06%37.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -1.00%E -0.642%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.13%E -6.01%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| ReBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 18:00 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 18:10 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -6.46%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:27 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.07%E -0.774%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.63%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-30 18:08 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.46%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.46%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.19%E -2.83%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-30 18:26 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -9.38%E -3.78%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Fliff | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.27%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -9.38%E -3.78%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-30 18:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 0.3% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Novig | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10% | 2.5% | 2026-06-30 18:30 |