Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano v Simona Waltert

Inizio: 2026-06-30 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Casa)

Previsione 63.46%1.58quota equa
EV -1.00%
Vantaggio -0.642%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.10%63.35%63.41%64.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.491.501.5669.44%67.09%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Simona Waltert (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.54%2.74quota equa
EV -2.07%
Vantaggio -0.774%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.47%36.65%36.59%39.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.572.562.6842.55%38.95%39.06%37.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Casa): 63.46%; Simona Waltert (Trasferta): 36.54%. Per Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.58. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.56, con un valore atteso del -1.00%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -1.00%E -0.642%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.13%E -6.01%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 18:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-30 18:20
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-30 18:29
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 18:09
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 18:09
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-30 18:20
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 18:00
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 18:09
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 18:10
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 18:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 18:10
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 18:09
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 18:10
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 18:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 18:29
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 18:29
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -6.46%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:20
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:27
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:29
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:29
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:29
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 18:30
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.07%E -0.774%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.63%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 18:08
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.46%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -6.46%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-30 18:29
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 18:29
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.19%E -2.83%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 18:29
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 18:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 18:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-30 18:29
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-30 18:26
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%EV -9.38%E -3.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 18:29
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 18:30
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-30 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.27%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -9.38%E -3.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 18:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-06-30 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-06-30 18:30
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-06-30 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-06-30 18:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-06-30 18:30
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-06-30 18:30
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-06-30 18:30