The School of OddsLanguage:English
Karolina Muchova v Coco Gauff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prediction 50.02%2.00fair odd
EV +2.53%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +2.41%
Growth +0.061%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%50.15%50.00%56.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.851.852.0559.52%53.91%54.05%48.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Coco Gauff (Visit)
Prediction 49.98%2.00fair odd
EV +8.47%
Edge +3.90%
Kelly +7.24%
Growth +0.613%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.98%49.85%50.00%53.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.931.912.1757.80%51.91%52.36%46.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -14.47%E -8.46%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV +8.47%E +3.90%K +7.24%G +0.613% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 12:24 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -15.97%E -9.51%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV +6.97%E +3.26%K +6.11%G +0.426% | 6.3% | 2026-07-09 12:38 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +4.97%E +2.37%K +4.52%G +0.224% | 3.2% | 2026-07-09 12:25 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -13.47%E -7.79%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +4.97%E +2.37%K +4.52%G +0.224% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 12:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV +3.47%E +1.68%K +3.24%G +0.112% | 2.4% | 2026-07-09 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +2.97%E +1.44%K +2.80%G +0.083% | 4.1% | 2026-07-09 11:24 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058% | 2.8% | 2026-07-09 12:33 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -9.47%E -5.23%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058% | 4.0% | 2026-07-09 12:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 12:37 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -10.97%E -6.16%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 12:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -11.47%E -6.48%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 12:30 |
| ReBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -8.97%E -4.93%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV +1.97%E +0.965%K +1.89%G +0.037% | 4.0% | 2026-07-09 11:55 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.97%E -6.16%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.97%E +0.965%K +1.89%G +0.037% | 5.2% | 2026-07-09 12:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-09 12:39 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 12:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 12:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -11.47%E -6.48%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 12:33 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -0.530%E -0.267%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 12:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 12:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -8.97%E -4.93%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 11:55 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-09 11:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -8.97%E -4.93%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -9.47%E -5.23%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-09 10:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-09 10:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 12:38 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -10.47%E -5.85%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -5.53%E -2.93%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-09 12:38 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -0.470%E -0.236%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +2.53%E +1.23%K +2.41%G +0.061% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-09 12:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -7.97%E -4.33%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -11.03%E -6.20%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -12.03%E -6.83%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +0.031%E +0.015%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -13.53%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.37% | -0.7% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 0.3% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Novig | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.8% | 2026-07-09 12:40 |