La escuela de los momios

Karolina Muchova v Coco Gauff

Inicio: 2026-07-09 12:42 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Predicción 50.02%2.00momio equitativo
EV +2.53%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +2.41%
Crecimiento +0.061%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.38%50.15%50.00%56.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.851.852.0559.52%53.91%54.05%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Predicción 49.98%2.00momio equitativo
EV +8.47%
Ventaja +3.90%
Kelly +7.24%
Crecimiento +0.613%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.98%49.85%50.00%53.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.931.912.1757.80%51.91%52.36%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -14.47%E -8.46%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV +8.47%E +3.90%K +7.24%G +0.613%4.6%2026-07-09 12:24
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -15.97%E -9.51%K -23.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV +6.97%E +3.26%K +6.11%G +0.426%6.3%2026-07-09 12:38
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +4.97%E +2.37%K +4.52%G +0.224%3.2%2026-07-09 12:25
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -13.47%E -7.79%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +4.97%E +2.37%K +4.52%G +0.224%5.4%2026-07-09 12:25
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV +3.47%E +1.68%K +3.24%G +0.112%2.4%2026-07-09 12:35
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +2.97%E +1.44%K +2.80%G +0.083%4.1%2026-07-09 11:24
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058%2.8%2026-07-09 12:33
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -9.47%E -5.23%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058%4.0%2026-07-09 12:25
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058%4.3%2026-07-09 12:37
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -10.97%E -6.16%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058%5.0%2026-07-09 12:30
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -11.47%E -6.48%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058%5.3%2026-07-09 12:30
ReBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -8.97%E -4.93%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV +1.97%E +0.965%K +1.89%G +0.037%4.0%2026-07-09 11:55
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.97%E -6.16%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.97%E +0.965%K +1.89%G +0.037%5.2%2026-07-09 12:20
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 12:39
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 12:25
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 12:40
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 12:25
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -11.47%E -6.48%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 12:33
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -0.530%E -0.267%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 12:40
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 12:40
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 12:40
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 12:40
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 12:39
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 12:39
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -8.97%E -4.93%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 11:55
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 11:55
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -8.97%E -4.93%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 12:40
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -9.47%E -5.23%K -11.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 12:40
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 12:40
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 12:40
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 12:40
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 12:40
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 10:55
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 10:50
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 12:40
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 12:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 12:40
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-09 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -10.47%E -5.85%K -13.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -5.53%E -2.93%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-09 12:40
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 12:40
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 12:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 12:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 12:40
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 12:38
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 12:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 12:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 12:40
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -0.470%E -0.236%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 12:40
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 12:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +2.53%E +1.23%K +2.41%G +0.061%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 12:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 12:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 12:39
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 12:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 12:40
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-09 12:40
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-09 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -7.97%E -4.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -11.03%E -6.20%K -14.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-09 12:40
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -12.03%E -6.83%K -15.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-09 12:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +0.031%E +0.015%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -13.53%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-09 12:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.03I 49.26%NM 49.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.37%-0.7%2026-07-09 12:40
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-07-09 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-07-09 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-07-09 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-09 12:40
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-09 12:40
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-07-09 12:40