La scuola delle quote

Karolina Muchova v Coco Gauff

Inizio: 2026-07-09 12:42 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Casa)

Previsione 50.02%2.00quota equa
EV +2.53%
Vantaggio +1.23%
Kelly +2.41%
Crescita +0.061%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.38%50.15%50.00%56.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.851.852.0559.52%53.91%54.05%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Coco Gauff (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.98%2.00quota equa
EV +8.47%
Vantaggio +3.90%
Kelly +7.24%
Crescita +0.613%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.98%49.85%50.00%53.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.931.912.1757.80%51.91%52.36%46.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -14.47%E -8.46%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV +8.47%E +3.90%K +7.24%G +0.613%4.6%2026-07-09 12:24
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -15.97%E -9.51%K -23.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV +6.97%E +3.26%K +6.11%G +0.426%6.3%2026-07-09 12:38
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +4.97%E +2.37%K +4.52%G +0.224%3.2%2026-07-09 12:25
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -13.47%E -7.79%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +4.97%E +2.37%K +4.52%G +0.224%5.4%2026-07-09 12:25
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV +3.47%E +1.68%K +3.24%G +0.112%2.4%2026-07-09 12:35
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV +2.97%E +1.44%K +2.80%G +0.083%4.1%2026-07-09 11:24
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058%2.8%2026-07-09 12:33
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -9.47%E -5.23%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058%4.0%2026-07-09 12:25
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058%4.3%2026-07-09 12:37
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -10.97%E -6.16%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058%5.0%2026-07-09 12:30
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -11.47%E -6.48%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +2.47%E +1.20%K +2.35%G +0.058%5.3%2026-07-09 12:30
ReBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -8.97%E -4.93%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV +1.97%E +0.965%K +1.89%G +0.037%4.0%2026-07-09 11:55
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.97%E -6.16%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.97%E +0.965%K +1.89%G +0.037%5.2%2026-07-09 12:20
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 12:39
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 12:25
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 12:40
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 12:25
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -11.47%E -6.48%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -0.031%E -0.015%K -0.031%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 12:33
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -0.530%E -0.267%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 12:40
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 12:40
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 12:40
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.03%E -1.04%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 12:40
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 12:39
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 12:39
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -8.97%E -4.93%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 11:55
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 11:55
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -8.97%E -4.93%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 12:40
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -9.47%E -5.23%K -11.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 12:40
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 12:40
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 12:40
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 12:40
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 12:40
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 10:55
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 10:50
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 12:40
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 12:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 12:40
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.03%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-09 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -10.47%E -5.85%K -13.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -5.53%E -2.93%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-09 12:40
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 12:40
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 12:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 12:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 12:40
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 12:38
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 12:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 12:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-09 12:40
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -0.470%E -0.236%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-09 12:40
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 12:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +2.53%E +1.23%K +2.41%G +0.061%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 12:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 12:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 12:39
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 12:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 12:40
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-09 12:40
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-09 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -7.97%E -4.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -11.03%E -6.20%K -14.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-09 12:40
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -12.03%E -6.83%K -15.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-09 12:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +0.031%E +0.015%K +0.031%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -13.53%E -7.82%K -18.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-09 12:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX2.03I 49.26%NM 49.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.37%-0.7%2026-07-09 12:40
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-07-09 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-07-09 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-07-09 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-09 12:40
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-09 12:40
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-07-09 12:40