Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karolina Muchova v Anastasia Zakharova

Kickoff: 2026-06-29 17:47 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prediction 84.07%1.19fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -22.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.70%83.96%84.13%85.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.121.121.1591.74%89.11%89.29%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anastasia Zakharova (Visit)

Prediction 15.93%6.28fair odd
EV +6.87%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.083%

assuming max odds 6.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.63%16.04%15.87%18.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.916.006.7120.00%16.92%16.67%14.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Muchova (Local): 84.07%; Anastasia Zakharova (Visit): 15.93%. For Anastasia Zakharova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.28. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 85.37%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.11%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.63%EV +6.87%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.083%1.9%2026-06-29 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.53%E +0.542%K +0.641%G +0.023%3.9%2026-06-29 17:27
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +3.53%E +0.542%K +0.641%G +0.023%4.7%2026-06-29 17:11
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.71%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.29%EV -0.297%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -0.456%E -0.073%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 17:40
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:11
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -2.85%E -0.466%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV -3.00%E -0.493%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 17:41
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.23%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.77%EV -3.00%E -0.493%K -0.590%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.64%E -0.602%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 17:39
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-29 17:41
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:11
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 17:31
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:31
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:11
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:31
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-29 17:10
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.44%E -0.740%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -6.03%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 17:11
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.29%EV -8.36%E -7.67%K -92.89%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.71%EV -6.83%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-29 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -7.15%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:40
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -7.15%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.52%E -6.84%K -75.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -7.62%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-29 17:40
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:41
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:40
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -8.36%E -7.67%K -92.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -8.42%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-29 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -10.81%E -1.93%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:10
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -10.81%E -1.93%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 17:11
Dabble (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.32%E -2.88%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:40
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.16%E -3.65%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-29 17:10
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.00%E -4.42%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:09
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.68%E -6.02%K -60.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.40%E -2.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-29 17:38
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.84%E -5.21%K -48.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.36%E -4.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-29 17:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-06-29 17:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-29 17:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-29 17:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-29 17:40
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 84.97%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.03%2.3%2026-06-29 17:40
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.17%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.83%4.2%2026-06-29 17:41
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%4.8%2026-06-29 17:41